I read that the 2030 pick swap is only Top 1 protected.
If true, that's a huge deal.
A God Builds a Castle With Barnes and a Vassell While An Alien Looks For His Ship - The Official 2024-2025 San Antonio Spurs Season Thread
- Thread starter VBM
- Start date
If true, that's a huge deal.
You know what. Ginobili works for the Spurs and his sons are around 11 years old
Pretty cool metric that shows the trajectory of draft picks in the 1st 4 years
So if you're outside the lottery....which...how do they define that? The first 14 players?
If you're not one of the lottery picks, there's seemingly a 2-3% chance you'll develop into a star player. But a pretty decent chance you can be a starter.
But even within the lottery picks, if you're not Top 5....the chances you become a star are 10% at best.
What that tells me is that when you're picking in the late 1st round or 2nd round...you should be taking the highest of high risk players -- or better said -- the highest of high ceiling players. Because it becomes a matter of risk vs reward.
It's like if you're gambling or playing Fanduel.
There's a 1% chance of getting a star. A 10% chance maybe of getting a starter. So you're gonna bust almost every single time. Might as well hope that the 1 time out of 100 that you're right, you land a REALLY good player.
Yup basically. Anything outside the lottery is a crapshoot.So if you're outside the lottery....which...how do they define that? The first 14 players?
If you're not one of the lottery picks, there's seemingly a 2-3% chance you'll develop into a star player. But a pretty decent chance you can be a starter.
But even within the lottery picks, if you're not Top 5....the chances you become a star are 10% at best.
What that tells me is that when you're picking in the late 1st round or 2nd round...you should be taking the highest of high risk players -- or better said -- the highest of high ceiling players. Because it becomes a matter of risk vs reward.
It's like if you're gambling or playing Fanduel.
There's a 1% chance of getting a star. A 10% chance maybe of getting a starter. So you're gonna bust almost every single time. Might as well hope that the 1 time out of 100 that you're right, you land a REALLY good player.
That 1st rd atl pick is looking good 
duckbutta
eienaar van mans
Atl will be the 5th seed and the Spurs will get the 19th pick out of itThat 1st rd atl pick is looking good
They'll trade it for a top 8 protected pick in 2041
The potential fukkery if the Hawks are trash and land a top 5 pick. Imagine having 2 top 10 picks in what is sure to be a loaded lottery
Also, might as well turn this into a mega thread like the Lakers/Knicks, instead of making one yearly
Also, might as well turn this into a mega thread like the Lakers/Knicks, instead of making one yearly
Okay so any chance SA could actually Deebo Trae away from ATL without giving their 2025 first back?
Unlikely. I think if the Spurs wanted Trae Young, they would have gotten him by now.Okay so any chance SA could actually Deebo Trae away from ATL without giving their 2025 first back?
From what I've been reading it seems that the Spurs are going to have to package these draft picks for someone, though.
There just aren't enough roster spots available for all these picks coming up. Some picks will be used to trade for veterans. And some picks might keep getting traded for future picks many years away.
It's not exciting but it sounds like a good strategy.
Once you build the foundation around Wemby, having 3-4 picks in a draft seems like a waste because it becomes too hard to work those guys into the rotation and it puts a lot of stress on your development team.
The challenging thing is the Spurs have to start winning soon to keep Wemby happy, but they also want to have the flexibility to trade for or draft good players in the event Wemby's surrounding cast gets injured or doesn't pan out.
*Also, and this might just be a foolish exercise, but the Spurs had a points differential of -6.5 points season (112.1 points scored vs 118.6 points allowed).
By my count, they lost 19 games by less than 6.5 points, so if they can find a way to close that gap a little they start to look better.
You can't sit here and say they should have won 19 more games, but if you take some of those and add them to their 22 wins last season, they probably get somewhere into the 30-34 win range. Not a playoff team but at that point you're feeling way more optimistic about the progression and the process.