oh its gonne be close..i think obama's gonna lose actually..
look at 08 results..and scroll over the swing states and notice how close it was against mccain
President Map - Election Results 2008 - The New York Times
now that he's been in office, and these swing states witnessed what he's done(or hasn't done), do you really think he's gonna win those same votes again?
Well, it'll definitely be closer, but probably not enough for Romney to win.
Obama definitely will lose Indiana (he BARELY won it last time), and will probably lose FL and VA. Even so, if he keeps Ohio (which he still has a small lead in) then he'll still win 281-257. If Romney does win Ohio then he wins 275-263.
Of course, that assumes that Romney wins VA, FL, and CO. If Obama loses OH but still wins CO then he can still squeak out a win 272-266. So basically, it's close, but Obama has more ways to win than Romney. I mean Romney pretty much has to sweep OH, FL, VA, and CO to win. Keep in mind that Obama still has a small (but significant) lead in OH and a tiny lead in Colorado. VA is too close to call.
IMO, whoever wins Ohio will win the election.