7 pts gallup lead for romney.

keon

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oh its gonne be close..i think obama's gonna lose actually..

look at 08 results..and scroll over the swing states and notice how close it was against mccain

President Map - Election Results 2008 - The New York Times

now that he's been in office, and these swing states witnessed what he's done(or hasn't done), do you really think he's gonna win those same votes again? :mjpls:
 

acri1

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oh its gonne be close..i think obama's gonna lose actually..

look at 08 results..and scroll over the swing states and notice how close it was against mccain

President Map - Election Results 2008 - The New York Times

now that he's been in office, and these swing states witnessed what he's done(or hasn't done), do you really think he's gonna win those same votes again? :mjpls:

Well, it'll definitely be closer, but probably not enough for Romney to win.

Obama definitely will lose Indiana (he BARELY won it last time), and will probably lose FL and VA. Even so, if he keeps Ohio (which he still has a small lead in) then he'll still win 281-257. If Romney does win Ohio then he wins 275-263.

Of course, that assumes that Romney wins VA, FL, and CO. If Obama loses OH but still wins CO then he can still squeak out a win 272-266. So basically, it's close, but Obama has more ways to win than Romney. I mean Romney pretty much has to sweep OH, FL, VA, and CO to win. Keep in mind that Obama still has a small (but significant) lead in OH and a tiny lead in Colorado. VA is too close to call.

IMO, whoever wins Ohio will win the election.
 

Will Ross

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oh its gonne be close..i think obama's gonna lose actually..

look at 08 results..and scroll over the swing states and notice how close it was against mccain

President Map - Election Results 2008 - The New York Times

now that he's been in office, and these swing states witnessed what he's done(or hasn't done), do you really think he's gonna win those same votes again? :mjpls:

In a state like Va it really depends on if blacks go out and vote Like we did last time.
 

acri1

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When its all said and done, I got my map to read Obama 286 to Romney's 252.

Make Your Own 2012 Election Map

To me, looking at polls, this is the most logical way this election is going down

Exactly the same as mine, except I don't see Romney winning New Hampshire. NS has a 63% chance of Obama winning there.

Here's my prediction:

Make Your Own 2012 Election Map

2nd most likely

Make Your Own 2012 Election Map

So basically, even if Romney wins FL, OH, and VA, Obama can still win if he gets CO. :whew:

If Romney gets all four, he wins.
 

Man On Fire

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Polls don't mean shyt. Just go out and vote. At the end of the day nothing is going to change but the hands on the clock. Do you and make the best of your life.
 

keon

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Exactly the same as mine, except I don't see Romney winning New Hampshire. NS has a 63% chance of Obama winning there.

Here's my prediction:

Make Your Own 2012 Election Map

2nd most likely

Make Your Own 2012 Election Map

So basically, even if Romney wins FL, OH, and VA, Obama can still win if he gets CO. :whew:

If Romney gets all four, he wins.

:usure:

Obama, stumping in N.H., sees scant gain in post-debate polls - BostonHerald.com

this how my map look

Make Your Own 2012 Election Map

:gladbron:
 

69 others

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the only how obama is gonna win this one is if black people and young whites come out like they did the last time, which i don't see happening the enthusiasm and zeal isn't there anymore, cause the republicans are going to show up to the polls with great fury and vengeance.
 

Mike Otherz

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only thing that worries me is if cacs are saying one thing to pollsters but gonna do something else. they might be saying they gon vote obama because they don't wanna be tagged as racist. so in these close polls, i am not 100 percent convinced by them, i need to see more of a gap.
 
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