2024 U.S. Presidential Election Thread: Donald Trump wins & will return to the White House; GOP wins U.S. Senate & U.S. House

WHO WINS?


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Well, there it is: the admission.

The charitable thing to say is that they left all the voters Trump activated out of the LV screens until they saw them vote twice (2016, 2020), then added them to the LV screens

They've now missed to the right in the first post-Roe election, but never in a GE, and their tight LV screens are missing any new voters that Kamala's activated.

And she is still anywhere from up five to down one in swing state polls, plus we've gained in a lot of district polling that hasn't screened out local blue votes.

I almost don't blame them. This is a party realignment and a lot of new voters are being activated. But if Kamala wins 300+ EVs and blows out her polling, they'll be totally untrustworthy until I can see them get their screening right for two cycles in a row. Maybe three.
 

voiture

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PA is definitely the state I'm worried most about :francis:



Probably not, but I didn't say otherwise :pachaha: you're getting a little too defensive

I'm just pointing out that polls were better for Hillary than Kamala. Obviously pollsters have tried to adjust for that since then.
PA is not a swing state. 2016 Trump win was a fluke.
All polls had OZ leading yet he got washed by Fetterman
 

MushroomX

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It's straight-up cowardice though. Because if it's a 300 EV for Kamala, then they look just as foolish.

People make mistakes. It's the American way to fail and pick themselves up... especially after the 2022 Midterms.

But I guess they are just too afraid to make mistakes again.
 
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