WHO WINS?


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Elim Garak

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I think turnout will be good.

The election is a “thing” in popular culture, more so this year than ever before.

Turnout had been trending up. There’s no reason to believe that trend stops with this election. People are tuned in.
I agree, I'm honestly not worried about it. Obviously it will not be like 2020, but I believe it will be good.
 

MeachTheMonster

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I agree, I'm honestly not worried about it. Obviously it will not be like 2020, but I believe it will be good.
The only thing that gives me a bit of concern is that i was 100% certain there was no way trump would win the 2016 election,

White folks are unpredictable :francis:
 

Trips

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The only thing that gives me a bit of concern is that i was 100% certain there was no way trump would win the 2016 election,

White folks are unpredictable :francis:
They aren't unpredictable.

Whites overwhelmingly vote Republican. It's really just going to be what percentage of white women break for Kamala. That is the number to watch.
 

Piff Perkins

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This CBS poll also has Kamala getting 43% of White voters, which is what Obama got in 2008, and 63% of Latino voters (a few points higher than what Biden got in 2020). Yet, they only have her up 3% nationally. Yeah, things don't add up.

It is what it is. I don't care about polls. Election Day can't come soon enough.

Hence my issue with the polls all year, even ones where she's leading. If Harris gets 43% of the white vote she stomps Trump at near Obama levels.
 
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