2024 U.S. Presidential Election Thread: Donald Trump wins & will return to the White House; GOP wins U.S. Senate & U.S. House

[Rain]

For those who remember 2016, what were the telltale signs that he was winning pre Election Day? I really gotta brace myself for this

When those Dade County results were coming in and not moving the needle

Like I said earlier, I would pay attention to what NC/GA looks like tomorrow night. If she just wins one of those, Trump's chances become exponentially more difficult. If she wins both, she doesn't even need PA. She can damn near afford to lose every other swing state and still win (she needs to pick up one of MI/WI/AZ) If she loses both, it's gonna be a rough few days while the results for other states come in.

A lot more needs to go right for Trump than it does for Harris.

 

[merklman]

Those bookies are mostly middle-aged White men (who politically lean towards Trump/Republicans).

It means absolutely nothing.

They are mostly built off analytics modelling algorithm's breh, its not the 1980s

 

[good pups]

When those Dade County results were coming in and not moving the needle

that was horrific

 

[Ozymandeas]

They said you can abbreviate Donald Trump's name as DONT

 

[good pups]

2020 had a similar feeling early-ish in the evening but as the night progressed things got much better.

 

[the cac mamba]

Those bookies are mostly middle-aged White men (who politically lean towards Trump/Republicans).

It means absolutely nothing.

i'm wondering what the fukking tradeoff is with the gambling markets

the actual gamblers are the guys you mentioned, crypto bros, etc....but are they really sacrificing money on a bad, emotional bet?

 

[Outlaw]

Almost all bookies have Trump still as favourite as of right now. What are they not seeing that the coli is

Degenerate gamblers lean conservative/republican because it’s generally egotistical men that are putting money down on these type of things.

The people putting money on Trump are suckers betting with their heart not based on the data

 

[Outlaw]

i'm wondering what the fukking tradeoff is with the gambling markets

the actual gamblers are the guys you mentioned, crypto bros, etc....but are they really sacrificing money on a bad, emotional bet?

Yes they are

 

[Sghost597]

 

[Spidey Man]

Almost all bookies have Trump still as favourite as of right now. What are they not seeing that the coli is

Sports books adjust the line all the time to keep the money coming in. Trump as "favorite" gets the MAGA panties wet.

It's a mix of polymarket data, favorable polling and a couple of executives juicing the numbers

 

[Sghost597]

Rouke is a crazy fukking dude

 

[Rain]

Yeah it's a wrap

Does this woman sleep

Can ya'll imagine Joe old ass (or Trump for that matter) doing all the shyt she been doing. I'm half her age and I don't have the energy to do all this

 

[jerniebert]

Almost all bookies have Trump still as favourite as of right now. What are they not seeing that the coli is

They're seeing a bunch of suckers who will put money down for trump. Trump supporters are not the brightest bunch.

 

[merklman]

Degenerate gamblers lean conservative/republican because it’s generally egotistical men that are putting money down on these type of things.

The people putting money on Trump are suckers betting with their heart not based on the data

Again, im not entirely sure the current betting odds makers work in this fashion when there is big data involved . . . especially with the long odds given to Kamala at the moment. Bookies will lose big on Dem bets from the last couple of weeks should she win. Ill just repeat as I did a couple days ago, this landslide for Kamala is nowhere near what we are seeing in the general news coverage across the pond.

 

[NaijaProdigy Redux]

For those who remember 2016, what were the telltale signs that he was winning pre Election Day? I really gotta brace myself for this

when Brexit passed, I turned to a friend and said that Trump could really win this shyt.

That whole year was fukking weird. Just a clear rise in right-wing sentiment and grievance

You combine that with Robby Mook running one of the worst campaigns of all time for a deeply polarizing candidate…