2024 U.S. Presidential Election Thread: Donald Trump wins & will return to the White House; GOP wins U.S. Senate & U.S. House

WHO WINS?


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Even if that Iowa poll is wrong, Trump would only be winning Iowa by 4% (because of the MOE). That's a terrible margin for Trump.

That suggests that White voters in the Midwest (particularly college-educated ones) have shifted SUBSTANTIALLY towards Kamala. Terrible news for Trump in the Blue Wall (PA, MI and WI).
His path has closed if H+3 in IA, T+3 in OH, and T+5 in KS are anywhere near accurate.
 

Rain

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Ayo… :gucci:

I know Hilary’s polls were like this heading into the election. But THIS energy is different..
Actually, that's the ironic thing. Selzer's Hillary/Trump poll was NOT like this for 2016. I think they had Trump winning by +7 which was close to the actual result. If anything, their poll was a sign for the rest of the midwest that year.

I think I even recall a recent poll show Trump only winning Ohio by 3 points against Harris, when he won it handedly in 2020. (can't speak to how good the pollster is), but this is why a lot of people are saying pay more attention to the red states polling because pollsters are less inclined to fukk with the numbers.
 

Outlaw

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Buzz City, NC :blessed:
:wow: Florida is in play. :stopitslime: "Stop it."
:wow: Texas is going blue. :stopitslime: "Not happening."
:wow: Iowa up by 3 for Kamala. :stopitslime: "Nothing but corn there."
:wow: Ohio looking a bit Purple there. :stopitslime: "NO NO NO."
The prospect of Texas going blue is the apple of my eye :wow:

That would absolutely break the back of the GOP
 
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Ayo… :gucci:

I know Hilary’s polls were like this heading into the election. But THIS energy is different..
They were not!

She was losing ground and Selzer showed the massive swing from Obama to Trump that ended up happening.

People forget, but go back and look at the last couple weeks of state polls. Hillary's numbers took a nosedive.
 

6CertsAndAMovie

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it heavily favors kamala tbh

what heavily favors kamala, exactly? the country has never elected a woman before, she's mediocre at best as a politician, and we're in the midst of an economy that does not have high approval :dead:

any honest observer knows that donald trump being an awful trainwreck is the only thing making her a serious campaign at all

look at this iowa shyt and tell me you don't believe
 

mastermind

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I love this woman. The most self-aware and concerned of the world mainstream rapper we’ve ever had. she distilled down why Musk is musty but also broke down how fukked up American capitalism is and how she had to fight to make it here. Celebs don’t do this, yet she constantly does. And people still don’t take her seriously even tho she is operating at a higher level than most people.


I wish she would chill on the plastic surgery tho. :whoa:
 
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