2024 U.S. Presidential Election Thread: Donald Trump wins & will return to the White House; GOP wins U.S. Senate & U.S. House

WHO WINS?


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GhostoftheMan

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Straight Outta Homeworld


He's not giving up on Florida flipping.

when does the crack come into play
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But you can't generate daily ad revenue from views if it's blow out.

I'm trying to think of all the ways a horse race can be actually true.

1. Trump activates a lot of new voters again to match Harris's activation - doesn't seem like that is showing clearly in any data we have, but I guess it could happen on EDay.

2. Harris doesn't activate many new voters - But I think it's almost certain she is doing this based on the info we have.

3. A key part of the Dem coalition stays home at higher rates - I haven't seen any evidence of this, but maybe I missed something?

My rational mind is reading the data and last week state/local poll trending toward Harris, plus other data about women out voting men, lots of new female voters in the pool, etc., and thinking that the pollsters still haven't got the right screens and will miss to the right again.

But I could be missing any number of factors that make the horse race narrative the correct one. I just don't see it beyond "all the national polls and some of the state polls show a horse race."
 

jmegamar

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The funny thing about the women thing is that republicans have ensured abortion will be a major issue in every election until democrats get 60 senators, or until the Supreme Court reverses so much they can re-instate Roe. And even IF one of those things happens I'm not convinced women become less active, given that republicans will keep being pro-life and keep trying to nominate judges that want to ban abortion.

I don't think DeSantis has the juice to win the nomination but consider what he's doing right now, trying to get the Florida abortion amendment defeated. Judges have had to intervene against his government for threatening local news stations that air pro-amendment ads. If he's the nominee in 2028 (and once again I don't believe he will be), how will he possibly survive on that platform nationally? We'll get a repeat of the same shyt again with DeSantis getting obliterated on the issue. Or whichever republican emerges.
Been saying Republicans only hope in next major election is Haley and basically everything they hated Kamala for applies to Haley.
 

Sghost597

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:unimpressed: maybe to give vote counting a chance to catch up? poll workers a break period? get things ready for the big day? everything isn't a conspiracy

if they're doing early voting, then what's the problem :dead:
What are you talking about!? You really don't know shyt about voting in Texas, but your dumbass wants to have an opinion on everything. I got time.

So, how about you STFU and let actual TEXANS express how they feel when you have 18 million register voters and ONLY ONE weekend of Early Voting.

Since you want to talk about ballot counting... Which again... If you actually was from Texas. You would already know that Texas has an digital ballot system. You print out a paper QR codes and you scan it. If you tiny fukking worm brain would be from Texas... You would know.


You don't. So, how about you kindly mind your fukking business when you have zero knowledge or experience with said topic. Okay?

Go back to harass and putting down vulnerable transgender people to make yourself feel better about being an absolute waste of human existence, pls.
 
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the cac mamba

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What are you talking about!? You really don't know shyt about voting in Texas, but your dumbass wants to have an opinion on everything. I got time.

So, how about you STFU and let actually TEXANS express how they feel when you have 18 million register voters and ONLY ONE weekend of Early Voting.

Since you want to talk about ballot counting... Which again... If you actually was from Texas. You would already know that Texas has an digital ballot system. You print out a paper QR codes and you scan it. If you tiny fukking work brain would be from Texas... You would know.


You don't. So, how about you kindly mind your fukking business when you have zero knowledge or experience with said topic. Okay?

Go back to harass and putting down vulnerable transgender people to make yourself feel better about being an absolute waste of human existence., pls.
:russell: fukk texas
 

Bleed The Freak

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DeSantis is TOAST

Everyone and they mama know he's a fukkin weirdo. That ain't happening. Plus he'd be outta office for 2 years running in 2028. Fukk him too.

They've pivoted and catered so far to the MAGA folks they're stuck.

Can't have a 'moderate' like a Charlie Baker type, cause they'll be a RINO and can't have a MAGA type cause they're too fukkin toxic.

Couldn't have happened to a better set of folks.
 
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