2024 U.S. Presidential Election Thread: Donald Trump wins & will return to the White House; GOP wins U.S. Senate & U.S. House

WHO WINS?


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MushroomX

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Piff Perkins

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For reference there are a few data points that traditionally have given us an idea of where things stand. Washington (the state) open primaries in certain districts, bellwether PA districts, and Iowa. All three look good for Kamala right now...like really good. With Iowa I'm not saying she will win the state, she's clearly gonna lose it. But in 2016 Trump had a massive lead there that later proved to preview the Midwestern shift to Trump in MI/WI/PA. This year Trump is only up about 5-7 points in Iowa. The Washington races were near blowouts for dems, and PA districts suggest Kamala is up comfortably.

I'm just sayin'.
 

Tair

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My guess:

Gen Z White male voters: 52% for Trump, 47% for Harris.

Gen Z White female voters: 55-57% for Harris, 42-43% for Trump.

There's a big gender gap between young White voters.

That's quite high for the white male vote, imo. I didn't expect that much in favor of Kamala.

:ehh:
 
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