2024 U.S. Presidential Election Thread: Donald Trump wins & will return to the White House; GOP wins U.S. Senate & U.S. House

WHO WINS?


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Big Jo

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For all the criticism Nate Silver gets on here, is he really that washed? he was invincible when he first stepped on to the scene.

I remember he was the golden boy in 2008 (or was it 2012?), he got every state right in the EC and was the only mainstream voice who nailed it.

I've always thought his insight was generally tight and accurate, except for maybe one "off year". I know he fumbled 2016 but so did most pundits.

objectively speaking how accurate has he been the last 8 years? Whether or not we like his politics, or he has money pumping in from partisan players, I am trying to understand his track record and how often he's been right/ wrong since the 2016 debacle.
 

MushroomX

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:mjgrin: I will say that I took a vacation for this week from this thread, just because NCAA and NFL are back. Now for a legit, non-shytpost... I find people saying that Kamala should be doing media, podcasts, etc. foolish. Kamala has been doing something even more important, boots on the ground. Some folks cannot afford internet, nor are they on social media or listen to podcasts.

A majority of Democrats will vote for Kamala, because this election isn't about policies but rather Governance itself because the Republicans can't evict Trump from their party.

Anyone who is looking for a battle of policy, especially after seeing a Trump presidency and/or keeping track of the last decade, knows what Trump is going to pull bullshyt wise and the gig is up.
 

the cac mamba

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Nope. I ain’t never forgot all the dumb shyt that happened during the George W/Cheney Administration years

-9/11 (Could have been prevented)
-Went to Iraq based on WMDs which was a lie and a low key hunt for Saddam Hussein.
-2008 Recession in which Obama (after being elected) had to get the country out of after Wallstreet went unchecked.

We're trying to stop a potential dictatorship from happening in this country. If Trump gets The White House back, America is finished.
which is why this is all that matters right now, not the war in iraq



i don't think the far left wants to win this election. i think they're gonna keep rooting for republicans to win, until the dems nominate a radical far left socialist retard in the primary, which is never actually gonna happen
 

MushroomX

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For all the criticism Nate Silver gets on here, is he really that washed? he was invincible when he first stepped on to the scene.

I wouldn't say he is washed, but rather... his model and algorithms no longer can gauge correctly. Between 2008 and 2024, Social Media has exploded even more... Less People are Watching Cable... Less People get their News from CNN, MSNBC and Fox News, Etc.

So many factors pollute those calculations, and I think he is too prideful to admit his system can't fix those flaws.
 

☑︎#VoteDemocrat

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:mjgrin: I will say that I took a vacation for this week from this thread, just because NCAA and NFL are back. Now for a legit, non-shytpost... I find people saying that Kamala should be doing media, podcasts, etc. foolish. Kamala has been doing something even more important, boots on the ground. Some folks cannot afford internet, nor are they on social media or listen to podcasts.

A majority of Democrats will vote for Kamala, because this election isn't about policies but rather Governance itself because the Republicans can't evict Trump from their party.

Anyone who is looking for a battle of policy, especially after seeing a Trump presidency and/or keeping track of the last decade, knows what Trump is going to pull bullshyt wise and the gig is up.
she doesn’t need to match trump’s digital out put but she needs SOMETHING

If she’s not going to sit with traditional media, she MUST engage with SOME media. Alternative etc.

She’s doing NOTHING. Thats unacceptable.
 

the cac mamba

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At this point the people complaining about scores of republicans not only voting for Harris but advocating for others to do the same gotta only have one question sent their way. How many rubles?
July - "i'm not voting for biden to stop trump"
September - "Cheney is voting for kamala to stop trump, i don't want to be on his side"

these are not serious people :mjlol:
 

the cac mamba

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she doesn’t need to match trump’s digital out put but she needs SOMETHING

If she’s not going to sit with traditional media, she MUST engage with SOME media. Alternative etc.

She’s doing NOTHING. Thats unacceptable.
who the hell knows anything about kamala right now, besides the people going to her rallies, that were voting democrat anyway?

i guess the debate will change that :skip:
 

MushroomX

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she doesn’t need to match trump’s digital out put but she needs SOMETHING

If she’s not going to sit with traditional media, she MUST engage with SOME media. Alternative etc.

She’s doing NOTHING. Thats unacceptable.

She is doing something, she is on the campaign trail talking with voters.

Boots on the ground. The amount of people listening or watching Trump vs. bot that promote it, is not that much and of the same MAGA Republicans that are going to vote for Trump not matter how retarded he is.
 

☑︎#VoteDemocrat

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She is doing something, she is on the campaign trail talking with voters.

Boots on the ground. The amount of people listening or watching Trump vs. bot that promote it, is not that much and of the same MAGA Republicans that are going to vote for Trump not matter how retarded he is.
This is an excuse and it’s not going to work on me. She needs to be doing more media. She’s got one job right now and Biden is doing his. She can be doing more. Leave it all on the field.
 
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