'18 Midterms: Dems win House by largest midterm raw vote margin ever

tru_m.a.c

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NkrumahWasRight Is Wrong

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Nate's final numbers are in. They've changed slightly. His forecast has Dems with an average gain of 39 in the house (21 on the low end) and in the Senate he has a GOP gain of 0.5 average.

The polls themselves have tightened up in a lot of the Senate races so I'm intrigued by that. A lady from Cook said that she feels Beto has a path if he wins the suburbs around Houston and the burbs of San Antonio, it's not enough for him to rack up votes in Austin and other college towns, he needs some people who don't normally vote to get out there in the burbs.

Dems looking strong in a lot of the key governor races. So this is a forecast filled with some hope but as always it's best to be cautious we saw what happened in '16

Im getting a feeling that Ned will win by 4 or so and also that Murphy being up for re-election really helps him
 

DonKnock

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Nate's final numbers are in. They've changed slightly. His forecast has Dems with an average gain of 39 in the house (21 on the low end) and in the Senate he has a GOP gain of 0.5 average.

The polls themselves have tightened up in a lot of the Senate races so I'm intrigued by that. A lady from Cook said that she feels Beto has a path if he wins the suburbs around Houston and the burbs of San Antonio, it's not enough for him to rack up votes in Austin and other college towns, he needs some people who don't normally vote to get out there in the burbs.

Dems looking strong in a lot of the key governor races. So this is a forecast filled with some hope but as always it's best to be cautious we saw what happened in '16

Beto was in Houston hard last weekend and again today
 
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