:wow: Medical Marijuana Legalization May Reduce Homicide, Assault Rates

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The legalization of medical marijuana has sparked debate across the nation for decades. Some have argued that medical marijuana's legalization will lead to higher crime rates. But according to a new study at UT Dallas, legalization of medical cannabis is not an indicator of increased crime.

It actually may be related to reductions in certain types of crime,
said Dr. Robert Morris, associate professor of criminology and lead author of the study published in the journal PLOS ONE.

"We're cautious about saying, 'Medical marijuana laws definitely reduce homicide.' That's not what we're saying," Morris said. "The main finding is that we found no increase in crime rates resulting from medical marijuana legalization. In fact, we found some evidence of decreasing rates of some types of violent crime, namely homicide and assault."
( :ohhh: )

The UT Dallas team began its work in summer 2012 after repeatedly hearing claims that medical marijuana legalization posed a danger to public health in terms of exposure to violent crime and property crime.

The study tracked crime rates across all 50 states between 1990 and 2006, when 11 states legalized marijuana for medical use: Alaska, California, Colorado, Hawaii, Maine, Montana, Nevada, Oregon, Rhode Island, Vermont and Washington. Since the time period the study covered, 20 states and Washington, D.C., have legalized marijuana for medical use.

Using crime data from the FBI's Uniform Crime Report, the researchers studied rates for homicide, rape, robbery, assault, burglary, larceny and auto theft, teasing out an effect for the passing of medical marijuana laws.

None of the seven crime types increased with the legalization of medical marijuana.


Robbery and burglary rates were unaffected by medical marijuana legalization, according to the study. These findings run counter to the claim that marijuana dispensaries and grow houses lead to an increase in victimization because of the opportunities for crime linked to the amount of drugs and cash that are present.

Morris said the models accounted for an exhaustive list of sociodemographic and econometric variables that are well-established links to changes in crime rates, including statistics on poverty, unemployment, college education, prison inmates and even the amount of beer consumed per person per year. Data came from the U.S. Census Bureau, the Bureau of Economic Analysis and the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

"The results are remarkable," Morris said. "It's pretty telling. It will be interesting to see what future studies hold."

Once data are available, the researchers plan to investigate the relationship between recreational marijuana legalization and crime in Washington and Colorado, where the legalized marijuana marketplace is taking shape.

While it's too soon to say if there are definitive drawbacks to legalizing marijuana for medical purposes, Morris said, the study shows that legalization does not pose a serious crime problem, at least at the state level.

"This new information, along with continued education of the public on the realities of the negative aspects of smoking marijuana -- which there are considerable negative attributes -- will make the dialogue between those opposed and in favor of legalization on more of an even playing field," Morris said. "It takes away the subjective comments about the link between marijuana laws and crime so the dialogue can be more in tune with reality."

UT Dallas doctoral student Michael TenEyck, assistant professor Dr. J.C. Barnes and associate professor Dr. Tomislav V. Kovandzic, all from the criminology program, also contributed to the study as co-authors


http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2014/03/140326182049.htm?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Feed: sciencedaily (Latest Science News -- ScienceDaily)

We all know this study is bullshyt, because thugs like Trayvon Martin still possess the ability to RANDOMLY attack upstanding citizens like George Zimmerman while under the influence :troll:

:salute: @Kobe Bryant
 
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The Real

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Correlation/Causation fallacy

How ? He only says it might lead to lower crime, which requires further testing, but that's not what the paper itself argues, which is only that there was no increase in those crimes after the marijuana laws were passed, and some appeared to decrease (not necessarily because of the law,) and there's nothing fallacious about that.

"We're cautious about saying, 'Medical marijuana laws definitely reduce homicide.' That's not what we're saying," Morris said. "The main finding is that we found no increase in crime rates resulting from medical marijuana legalization. In fact, we found some evidence of decreasing rates of some types of violent crime, namely homicide and assault."
 
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Big Jo

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Correlation/Causation fallacy

I think you're writing it off to quickly

How narrow of a time frame/ sharp of a percentage drop would you want to see

Say within 3 years of medical laws being passed, there's an average 15% dip in crime versus 3% in states that did not legalize

(I don't know what the statistics are, I'm just throwing something out hypothetically)

Wouldn't that be enough to convince you it runs deeper than correlaiton
 

ExodusNirvana

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Seems logical. Once something is no longer black market, the criminal elements will fall back on having such an intense interest in it and its value will drop but not necessarily the publics interest in it.

ie. Alcohol < ---> Prohibition
 

Type Username Here

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I think @TLOL is back has a point.

I personally believe that ending the Drug War and legalization of drugs DOES lead to lower crime rates and I also think there are much better, longer studies in countries such as Portugal that provide much better evidence, sample size and time.

This study basically said nothing and it implied heavily on correlation/causation fallacy, even if it tried to distance itself from it.
 
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How ? He only says it might lead to lower crime, which requires further testing, but that's not what the paper itself argues, which is only that there was no increase in those crimes after the marijuana laws were passed, and some appeared to decrease (not necessarily because of the law,) and there's nothing fallacious about that.

Anything might lead to lower crime. He implied correlation implies causation.

I think you're writing it off to quickly

How narrow of a time frame/ sharp of a percentage drop would you want to see

Say within 3 years of medical laws being passed, there's an average 15% dip in crime versus 3% in states that did not legalize

(I don't know what the statistics are, I'm just throwing something out hypothetically)

Wouldn't that be enough to convince you it runs deeper than correlaiton

Not really. It would imply a relationship of sorts, but not really a causal one. It is possible that states with characteristics which lead them to legalize marijuana also have qualities that would lead to a reduction of crime. Additionally, it is also possible that crime was already on the decrease in states with such characteristics.

For the record, I do support decriminalization of drugs.
 

the cac mamba

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"Some have argued that medical marijuana's legalization will lead to higher crime rates"

i hope whoever 'argued' this gets hit by a truck. in front of their family

the bias behind such a claim is stunning
 

Sensitive Blake Griffin

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Correlation/Causation fallacy
this.


and the whole it causes crime thing only happens because originally medical marijuana dispensaries were unable to deposit their money into a bank so they had to keep all their profits on the premises making it susceptible to theft, how else could it possibly cause crime rates to increase? Now that they can deposit into banks without be arrested by the feds there should be no problems
 
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