The Official 2017 NFL Draft Thread

jaguar paw

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2017 NFL Draft: Which running backs raise red flags as potential fumblers?

Vision. Balance. Burst. These are the main traits scouts look for in running backs. But ball security also is crucial for the NFL transition. A high fumble rate for a running backs is worrisome the same way a high interception total is for a quarterbacks because they are expected to touch the ball at least 20-25 times a game.

The average fumble rate for the top-10 rushers in the NFL last season was 108.5, or once for every 108.5 offensive touches.

Two running backs projected in the first round of our most recent mock drafts, Florida State's Dalvin Cook (63.8) and LSU's Leonard Fournette (82.1), posted less-than-ideal career fumble rates. Stanford's Christian McCaffrey, who colleague Rob Rang projects as a first-rounder, has one of the best rates (243.7).

Chicago Bears rookie running back Jordan Howard posted one of the better collegiate fumble rates (111.8) in the 2016 draft class. And that translated for him as a first-year player, fumbling only once over 281 offensive touches.

In the 2015 NFL Draft class, Detroit Lions running back Ameer Abdullah had one of the highest fumble rates in recent memory (35.4). And so far as a pro, ball security has been an issue for him with four fumbles over 191 offensive touches for a 47.8 fumble rate.

Below are the career offensive fumble rates for the top running back prospects in the 2017 NFL Draft class, broken down into five categories:

Elite (150 or better)
  • 856.0: Kareem Hunt, Toledo
  • 434.0: Joseph Yearby, Miami (Fla.)
  • 266.5: De'Veon Smith, Michigan
  • 243.7: Christian McCaffrey, Stanford
  • 168.0: Elijah McGuire, Louisiana-Lafayette
  • 157.2: Jamaal Williams, BYU
Above Average (125-149)
  • 148.2: Wayne Gallman, Clemson
  • 136.0: Brian Hill, Wyoming
  • 129.6: Matthew Dayes, N.C. State
  • 124.7: Tarean Folston, Notre Dame
Average (100-124)
Below Average (75-99)
  • 99.7: James Conner, Pittsburgh
  • 96.6: Tarik Cohen, North Carolina A&T
  • 86.4: Corey Clement, Wisconsin
  • 82.1: Leonard Fournette, LSU
  • 81.0: Aaron Jones, UTEP
  • 79.0: T.J. Logan, North Carolina
  • 78.5: Elijah Hood, North Carolina
Red Flag (Worse than 75)


My little bro Kareem Hunt :Gucciwha:
 

O.iatlhawksfan

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Patriots should get Fournette. Trade Grapaolo to Cle for the 12th pick then package the 12th and 32nd to move up and get Fournette
 

O.iatlhawksfan

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:dahell:

:beli: Ain't doing all that for 1 player

And McCacfrey is probably his #1 back on his own board anyway
Yu don't know that. Yea I know Mccaffery fits what they like but so does Fournette. Look at Blount, and what they been able to do with him. Fournette is a way more talented Blount.
 

Sauce Dab

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Yu don't know that. Yea I know Mccaffery fits what they like but so does Fournette. Look at Blount, and what they been able to do with him. Fournette is a way more talented Blount.
But why would he jump through all those hoops to get that one player tho? :beli: Wins because he doesn't jump through hoops. He traded Jaime Collins in the middle of the year just so he wouldn't have to pay him
 

O.iatlhawksfan

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But why would he jump through all those hoops to get that one player tho? :beli: Wins because he doesn't jump through hoops. He traded Jaime Collins in the middle of the year just so he wouldn't have to pay him
He doesn't have to jump thru all those hoops because he has Brady. Brady is getting up there in age he needs to find his next franchise player.
 

Sauce Dab

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He doesn't have to jump thru all those hoops because he has Brady. Brady is getting up there in age he needs to find his next franchise player.
Brady's great but he's proven on different occasions that he can win without him

Beat the team with the best defense in the league (Texans) 27-0 with a 3rd string QB.
But we'll see what happens in April
 

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I have McCaffrey rated ahead of Fournette and Cook.

Here are my top 5 RBs right now:

1. Alvin Kamara (Tennessee)
2. Joe Mixon (Oklahoma)
3. Christian McCaffrey (Stanford)
4. Leonard Fournette (LSU)
5. Dalvin Cook (FSU)

All 5 should be first rounders.
I don't see it. McCaffrey seems more like a nice weapon, 3rd down back to me.

cook and fournette and kamara are workhorse backs that can carry a run game​
 
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