Steve Daines says the GOP will control the U.S. Senate through 2030

Is Senator Daines correct?


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Outlaw

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Bob Casey’s loss was huge. As was Sherrod Brown.

Majority report has compared Trumps win to bush winning in 04 and we know how the turned out.

I think Trump will be even less popular than he was in 2020 which will lead to a near super majority for Dems
 

Wild self

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That means if elections are rigged to GOPs favor, then they gotta fear a violent backlash among the voting public.

A recession is going to come, and they dare try to rig it in 2026, then it (literally) will get bloody
 

Trips

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The maps favor the Republicans.

Tester lost because of transplants moving to Montana that just vote for the R and ignore policy. The people that Tester won over are moving out or dying off. Dems will never get a seat back here.

Sherrod Brown - who despite being everything that Bernie says the people want, the people rejected him. He might manage to win it back or win the election for Vance's seat. But, Vance also is in his seat because Tim Ryan didn't convince the Whites to vote for him despite messaging exactly like Bernie and shytting all over Obama in 2022

Manchin got out to save face, but he was ultimately going to go out the way of Tester if he stayed.

Florida, Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, South Carolina, The Dakotas, Wyoming, Idaho, Utah - will never go to the Dems.

Beshear might be able to get one of the Kentucky seats, but it's not a given.
Ossoff and Warnock holding the GA seats will be interesting, especially if Kemp comes for one of them.

If PA is trending like Ohio then those seats are always going to be toss ups until they are lost
Missouri Dems have likely lost the chance to get those seats back. The urban metros are more red than most states and the rural areas will never vote for the D.

Oklahoma, Nebraska, Iowa, Arkansas those seats are never going to the Dems. Probably go ahead and loop Tennessee, Indiana and Kansas in with this bunch


Just in my bable I've identified basically 40 senate seats that are assured to the Republicans. That is almost half of the Senate. So if you think about it. At almost any given time the Republicans will have a lock on 40-45 seats outright.

HI, CA, WA, OR, CO, NM, IL, NH, MD, NY, NJ, VA, MN - These seem to be the safest blue Senate states (26)

So just my rough work that is a 45+ seat block vs a 26 seat block. The Dems basically have to sweep the other 29 seats consistently and we know that won't happen. So the Republicans are almost always assured the majority if they can win the open races.
 

Trips

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He would have if he allowed Biden to run in 2016. 16 years of dem dominance in the WH and liberal Supreme Court
Beau had died the year before. Biden wasn't in a real position family wise to run.
 

wire28

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The maps favor the Republicans.

Tester lost because of transplants moving to Montana that just vote for the R and ignore policy. The people that Tester won over are moving out or dying off. Dems will never get a seat back here.

Sherrod Brown - who despite being everything that Bernie says the people want, the people rejected him. He might manage to win it back or win the election for Vance's seat. But, Vance also is in his seat because Tim Ryan didn't convince the Whites to vote for him despite messaging exactly like Bernie and shytting all over Obama in 2022

Manchin got out to save face, but he was ultimately going to go out the way of Tester if he stayed.

Florida, Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, South Carolina, The Dakotas, Wyoming, Idaho, Utah - will never go to the Dems.

Beshear might be able to get one of the Kentucky seats, but it's not a given.
Ossoff and Warnock holding the GA seats will be interesting, especially if Kemp comes for one of them.

If PA is trending like Ohio then those seats are always going to be toss ups until they are lost
Missouri Dems have likely lost the chance to get those seats back. The urban metros are more red than most states and the rural areas will never vote for the D.

Oklahoma, Nebraska, Iowa, Arkansas those seats are never going to the Dems. Probably go ahead and loop Tennessee, Indiana and Kansas in with this bunch


Just in my bable I've identified basically 40 senate seats that are assured to the Republicans. That is almost half of the Senate. So if you think about it. At almost any given time the Republicans will have a lock on 40-45 seats outright.

HI, CA, WA, OR, CO, NM, IL, NH, MD, NY, NJ, VA, MN - These seem to be the safest blue Senate states (26)

So just my rough work that is a 45+ seat block vs a 26 seat block. The Dems basically have to sweep the other 29 seats consistently and we know that won't happen. So the Republicans are almost always assured the majority if they can win the open races.
Sherrod is the perfect example of you just ain’t winning these “economically anxious” voters. They want MAGA and MAGA lite, so fukk em.
 

Loose

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Recession looks likely , especially if they cutting taxes
 

Worthless Loser

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Beau had died the year before. Biden wasn't in a real position family wise to run.
He still wanted to run. Obama discouraged him from running because he had his head up Clinton's ass and wanted her to succeed him. Obama's people jumped to Clinton. Ron Klein, then VP Biden's Chief of Staff turned on Biden and jumped to Clinton.

Klein should thank Biden for not holding a grudge and letting him come back to his circle and be Chief of Staff.
 

FAH1223

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Sherrod is the perfect example of you just ain’t winning these “economically anxious” voters. They want MAGA and MAGA lite, so fukk em.
He won them in 2018 when Trump was president

I think he can win if it’s a midterm environment

Moreno only won cause Trump was top of ticket and $100M of crypto money against Sherrod
 

Geek Nasty

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It'll be the same dumbass pattern Americans follow. Let Republicans fukk up the economy catering to the rich, then they'll be crying for Democrats to take over. After one or 2 elections, Republicans will come up with some dumbass issues ("OMG a new healthcare system we created in 2 years had some bugs, the Democrats are incompetent! Tan suits! The Afghanistan withdrawal Trump set up to implode after he left office was a disaster!") and dumbass Americans will vote Republicans back in.
 
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