Russia is now classified as a high-income country by the World Bank, thanks to the war in Ukraine. đź‘€

At30wecashout

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:russ:Video literally says the following
1. The war is spurring growth
2. industries surrounding the war are the ones growing
3. Wages are up due to casualties

Soooooo...is this going to be construed as sustainable here on the coli? Russia still has allies and energy it sells. Not pulling out of the war is literally what is floating them. This is not the droids folks are looking for.

Lose a sizeable portion of your populace to war and pay the remaining more and consider it a win, brehs.
 

Mister Terrific

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The IMF only reports what member countries tell them.

An economy fueled by loans
[Economist] Evgeniy Nadorshin believes the current rate of growth of lending in Russia is unhealthy. “Russians are aggressively taking out loans and microloans, despite increased rates, which are not offset by income growth. The country's economy is now growing not because of investment and import substitution that replaces foreign goods with domestic production, but due to growth in consumer demand, which is fueled by loans," he explains. "Such economic growth cannot be supported for long."
[...]
At first glance, the Russian economy appears to be back on track after a rough 2022, with positive GDP growth recorded over the past five quarters, including for the first four months of 2024. Yet upon closer inspection, it becomes clear that this performance is a facade hiding the truth: The war is drugging Russia’s economy, and making life in the country worse off.
According to Moscow-based news website RBC, recent data show that yearly inflation is up 8.61%, far from the 4% target set by the Russian Central Bank. RBC also reports that consumer prices have increased by 3.82% since the beginning of the year. For months, the interest rate has been stable at 16% (compared to 4.25% in the EU and 5.50% in the U.S.), in an attempt by Russian authorities to increase the cost of borrowing and deter economic activity.
src: A Trillion Rubles Of Microloans: How Household Debt Is Pushing Russia Into Recession -





The word bank is also expecting the Russian economy to slow to 1% growth by 2026







It is important to actually research what things mean and analyze sources of information :unimpressed:
 

im not you

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As well as sanctions, an increase in the tax burden and lower oil production in Russia could also tighten monetary conditions, leading to a possible revising down on GDP growth for this year, the Moscow Times reported, citing the Institute of Economic Forecasts of the Russian Academy of Sciences.

Independent Russian news outlet The Bell said on June 29 that "the overheating of the Russian economy is now an accepted fact" among top officials including Central Bank head Elvira Nabiullina, and the head of state-owned Sberbank, German Gref.

"Increasingly, it's only Russian President Vladimir Putin still championing Russia's high growth as a major achievement without any awareness of the possible downsides," The Bell added.

russian journalists risking being thrown out of windows to give more than a casual take on the matter but COLI MANDINGO knows best i guess :unimpressed:
 

#BOTHSIDES

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FishNGrits

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Wait, I thought their financial system was in shambles and they couldn't even withdraw money from the ATM's :mjlol:
It’s not sustainable. The country is producing for the war but not for anything else. It’s gonna hurt down the line. This has been done before.
 

bnew

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1/1
In the first 4 months of 2024, Hungary's exports to Kyrgyzstan were $81 mn versus around $2 mn in the same 4-month period before Russia invaded Ukraine. That's a rise of 3400%. Nothing about this is normal. Nothing about it should be happening. This stuff is going to Russia...


To post tweets in this format, more info here: https://www.thecoli.com/threads/tips-and-tricks-for-posting-the-coli-megathread.984734/post-52211196
GUs31-VWkAAFfMW.png
 

bnew

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Nearly all Chinese banks are refusing to process payments from Russia, report says​


Huileng Tan

Listen

03:25 min

Vladimir Putin sitting with a microphone in front of him and a Russian flag behind him.

Russian President Vladimir Putin. Gavriil Grigorov /Pool/AFP/Getty Images

  • Nearly all Chinese banks are refusing payments from Russia, a report from the Russian outlet Izvestia says.
  • Russia has been using smaller banks and non-US-dollar currencies to bypass Western sanctions.
  • But doors to alternative transfer methods are closing fast; Russia is now looking to crypto and barter trade.

The impact of the West's sanctions just seems to be getting worse and worse for Russia.

Now, 98% of Chinese banks — even small regional ones — are refusing to accept direct Chinese payment transfers from Russia, Alexey Razumovsky, the commercial director of the payments company Impaya Rus, told the pro-Kremlin media outlet Izvestia.

Such issues appear to have intensified over the past three weeks, as smaller Chinese financial companies were still processing Russian payments in May and June, Izvestia reported.

Last month, the Russian outlet Kommersant reported that about 80% of bank transfers made in the Chinese yuan were bouncing back with no explanation after being stalled for weeks while banks decided whether they could transact.

Razumovsky told Izvestia the payment challenges with Chinese banks could contribute to supply-chain difficulties and inflation in Russia.


Doors between Russia and Chinese banks are closing​


Since the invasion of Ukraine, Russia and its trade partners have skirted sanctions by using smaller banks and other payment modes or non-US-dollar currencies to circumvent the West's ban of some Russian banks from the widely-used SWIFT messaging system.

But the doors have been closing for these workarounds since December, when the US approved secondary sanctions targeting financial institutions that were helping Russia.

Alexey Poroshin, the general director of the investment and consulting firm First Group, told Izvestia that some financial institutions in China were even starting to reject payments in the ruble.

Poroshin said Chinese banks weren't keen on doing business with Russian companies through financial institutions in Hong Kong, a special administrative region under China.

Ekaterina Kizevich, the CEO of Atvira, a Russian foreign-trade consultancy, told Izvestia that Russian companies were still sending yuan to China via Russian bank branches on the mainland, but there was a 5% markup.

Many Chinese companies would still refuse payments from the Russian bank branches on the mainland, Impaya Rus' Razumovsky told the newspaper.


Russia is rushing to set up alternative payment mechanisms​


Russian businesses still have alternatives, such as conducting transactions through "friendly" third-party countries.

Russia is also rushing to set up alternative payment systems, including crypto, to facilitate trade.

Reuters reported on Thursday that Russia and China were even planning to revive the age-old practice of barter trade to get around Western sanctions.

Russia's problems with paying Chinese suppliers would cut off a crucial pillar of support for its war against Ukraine, Joseph Webster, a senior fellow at the Atlantic Council think tank, wrote in a June report.

"While Russia's exports help finance its war effort, its imports of industrial goods are vastly more important for sustaining the economic, political, and military dimensions of its war effort, at least in the short term," he wrote.

"Russia's imports prevent shortages, maintain political support for the war by stabilizing living standards, and, in some cases, facilitate military capabilities," Webster added.
 

Kunty McPhuck

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Nearly all Chinese banks are refusing to process payments from Russia, report says​


Huileng Tan

Listen

03:25 min

Vladimir Putin sitting with a microphone in front of him and a Russian flag behind him.

Russian President Vladimir Putin. Gavriil Grigorov /Pool/AFP/Getty Images

  • Nearly all Chinese banks are refusing payments from Russia, a report from the Russian outlet Izvestia says.
  • Russia has been using smaller banks and non-US-dollar currencies to bypass Western sanctions.
  • But doors to alternative transfer methods are closing fast; Russia is now looking to crypto and barter trade.

The impact of the West's sanctions just seems to be getting worse and worse for Russia.

Now, 98% of Chinese banks — even small regional ones — are refusing to accept direct Chinese payment transfers from Russia, Alexey Razumovsky, the commercial director of the payments company Impaya Rus, told the pro-Kremlin media outlet Izvestia.

Such issues appear to have intensified over the past three weeks, as smaller Chinese financial companies were still processing Russian payments in May and June, Izvestia reported.

Last month, the Russian outlet Kommersant reported that about 80% of bank transfers made in the Chinese yuan were bouncing back with no explanation after being stalled for weeks while banks decided whether they could transact.

Razumovsky told Izvestia the payment challenges with Chinese banks could contribute to supply-chain difficulties and inflation in Russia.


Doors between Russia and Chinese banks are closing​


Since the invasion of Ukraine, Russia and its trade partners have skirted sanctions by using smaller banks and other payment modes or non-US-dollar currencies to circumvent the West's ban of some Russian banks from the widely-used SWIFT messaging system.

But the doors have been closing for these workarounds since December, when the US approved secondary sanctions targeting financial institutions that were helping Russia.

Alexey Poroshin, the general director of the investment and consulting firm First Group, told Izvestia that some financial institutions in China were even starting to reject payments in the ruble.

Poroshin said Chinese banks weren't keen on doing business with Russian companies through financial institutions in Hong Kong, a special administrative region under China.

Ekaterina Kizevich, the CEO of Atvira, a Russian foreign-trade consultancy, told Izvestia that Russian companies were still sending yuan to China via Russian bank branches on the mainland, but there was a 5% markup.

Many Chinese companies would still refuse payments from the Russian bank branches on the mainland, Impaya Rus' Razumovsky told the newspaper.


Russia is rushing to set up alternative payment mechanisms​


Russian businesses still have alternatives, such as conducting transactions through "friendly" third-party countries.

Russia is also rushing to set up alternative payment systems, including crypto, to facilitate trade.

Reuters reported on Thursday that Russia and China were even planning to revive the age-old practice of barter trade to get around Western sanctions.

Russia's problems with paying Chinese suppliers would cut off a crucial pillar of support for its war against Ukraine, Joseph Webster, a senior fellow at the Atlantic Council think tank, wrote in a June report.

"While Russia's exports help finance its war effort, its imports of industrial goods are vastly more important for sustaining the economic, political, and military dimensions of its war effort, at least in the short term," he wrote.

"Russia's imports prevent shortages, maintain political support for the war by stabilizing living standards, and, in some cases, facilitate military capabilities," Webster added.

Is this Xi way of telling Vlad to end his war?



Just so he can start his one in Taiwan

:hubie:
 
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