I voted Edge because of the way news cycles work in 2023. Nearly everything big is hot for 24-48 hours then goes to the back burner to be replaced by the next hot big news.
But if TK makes some major announcement since they keep hyping up this new era stuff, whatever that is will likely be the big news item coming out of the weekend.
If that announcement flops, it will be a tie between an Edge debut or that announcement flopping. People that care about wrestling will be talking up Edge, people that want to shyt on AEW will be talking about the announcement flopping.
If Jade had popped up at NXT, which we all knew wasn't going to happen, but if she had, that might have been the pick.
Long term, Jade would be the pick, depending on what this new era stuff is AEW keeps hyping up.