Nate Silver 538 places Obamas chances at winning electoral vote at67.8

Dusty Bake Activate

Fukk your corny debates
Joined
May 1, 2012
Messages
39,078
Reputation
5,982
Daps
132,705
Like I said on the HL podcast and as I've been saying in ktl all along, the notion that this election is close is a myth. Look at the electoral map and the state polls.
 

Slystallion

Live to Strive
WOAT
Supporter
Joined
May 4, 2012
Messages
13,106
Reputation
-10,422
Daps
17,418
Like I said on the HL podcast and as I've been saying in ktl all along, the notion that this election is close is a myth. Look at the electoral map and the state polls.

Looking like a Bob dole smackdown. It still doesn't register how it could be like that when the economy is so piss poor unless the American public has just become that misinformed. The only other way to explain is that the public still attributes the poor economy to Bush. Well I'll wait to see what the numbers looking like a few weeks after RNC and the boost from RNC levels off. Also the economic reports right before the election will probably weigh the heaviest in terms of deciding the election.
 

Dusty Bake Activate

Fukk your corny debates
Joined
May 1, 2012
Messages
39,078
Reputation
5,982
Daps
132,705
Looking like a Bob dole smackdown. It still doesn't register how it could be like that when the economy is so piss poor unless the American public has just become that misinformed. The only other way to explain is that the public still attributes the poor economy to Bush. Well I'll wait to see what the numbers looking like a few weeks after RNC and the boost from RNC levels off. Also the economic reports right before the election will probably weigh the heaviest in terms of deciding the election.

What makes Romney and the rethugs more pathetic is that he's going to outraise Obama by billions and still lose by 100-150 electoral votes. :russ:
 

Street Knowledge

Superstar
Supporter
Joined
May 2, 2012
Messages
24,241
Reputation
1,718
Daps
57,803
Reppin
NYC
Romney is just too far behind in key demographics. And the electoral map just don't add up in his favor.
 

Slystallion

Live to Strive
WOAT
Supporter
Joined
May 4, 2012
Messages
13,106
Reputation
-10,422
Daps
17,418
Well at least you are being realistic this time around and not fanatical like in 08. That 08 ether still burns.

Nah man we had it in 08 that bank failure right before the election changed everything. McCain was up in the polls before that. It's just tough beating an incubent people are creatures of habit and most people don't have concrete political philosophies hardcore righties and hardcore lefties who follow this stuff like fat guys follow sports don't decide elections.
 

Slystallion

Live to Strive
WOAT
Supporter
Joined
May 4, 2012
Messages
13,106
Reputation
-10,422
Daps
17,418
what u expect, re thugs picked a mormon who outsourced jobs to go up against obama when jobs are still on the low


lmao, does that really make any sense?

:heh:

Hey man I wanted Herman Cain that dude had fight in him and the process would have been far more entertaining. He had the ability to inspire many of the non partisan mass of voters that decide this stuff.
 

Dusty Bake Activate

Fukk your corny debates
Joined
May 1, 2012
Messages
39,078
Reputation
5,982
Daps
132,705
Nah man we had it in 08 that bank failure right before the election changed everything. McCain was up in the polls before that. It's just tough beating an incubent people are creatures of habit and most people don't have concrete political philosophies hardcore righties and hardcore lefties who follow this stuff like fat guys follow sports don't decide elections.

McCain was never ahead in the electoral math. I have no idea why people put so much stock in all these national gallup and ppp polls that change with the wind daily. The election is decided by electoral votes. The realclearpolitics electoral map, which averages all the state polls is all you need as a reference.
 

Gallo

Banned
Joined
May 24, 2012
Messages
1,982
Reputation
115
Daps
2,106
Reppin
NULL
Looking like a Bob dole smackdown. It still doesn't register how it could be like that when the economy is so piss poor unless the American public has just become that misinformed. The only other way to explain is that the public still attributes the poor economy to Bush. Well I'll wait to see what the numbers looking like a few weeks after RNC and the boost from RNC levels off. Also the economic reports right before the election will probably weigh the heaviest in terms of deciding the election.

The American people are misinformed/uniformed yes - we make "gut" decisions(outside of the ideologues like yourself), not informed ones. I haven't watched cable news in ages, nor have I followed the whole Holder issue or Obamacare - don't care. However gut tells me Obama isn't completely to blame for the current state of the economy and Republican obstructionism is as much to blame as anything. Gut tells me Romney is, politically, the same as Obama. Romney or Obama, it's win win or lose lose. That's why there isn't much enthusiasm, we don't care who wins and will probably just stick with Obama cause we know em - unless of course as you say, something major happens in the coming months.
 
Joined
May 17, 2012
Messages
1,040
Reputation
90
Daps
696
The American people are misinformed/uniformed yes - we make "gut" decisions(outside of the ideologues like yourself), not informed ones. I haven't watched cable news in ages, nor have I followed the whole Holder issue or Obamacare - don't care. However gut tells me Obama isn't completely to blame for the current state of the economy and Republican obstructionism is as much to blame as anything. Gut tells me Romney is, politically, the same as Obama. Romney or Obama, it's win win or lose lose. That's why there isn't much enthusiasm, we don't care who wins and will probably just stick with Obama cause we know em - unless of course as you say, something major happens in the coming months.

June jobs report :sadbron:
 
Top