Murder Rate Plummets in Juarez, Mexico

MidwestD

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http://worldnews.nbcnews.com/_news/...-murder-capital-is-making-a-comeback#comments

By Dudley Althaus, GlobalPost Contributor
CIUDAD JUAREZ, Mexico — Young daughter in hand, Isabel Aguilera recounts the mayhem that stalked these streets.

Here they dragged a father from the breakfast table, shooting him dead outside in front of his family. There they came for a shopkeeper, gunning him down behind the counter. Yonder they snuffed two brothers after pulling them from their beds before sunrise.

“They were people from outside,” Aguilera, 38, said of the killings that recently swept like cholera through Riveras del Bravo, a teeming sprawl of Mexico’s working poor. “They wanted to inject power, fear.”

These thousands of matchbox houses once ranked among Earth's deadliest patches through years of criminal war in Ciudad Juarez, an industrial and narcotics corridor bordering America’s safest large city El Paso, Texas.

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More than 10,000 people were murdered across the Mexican city of 1.3 million in less than five years. Many were young men gunned down on streets like these.

But the fever has broken. At fewer than two a day, murders citywide likely will finish the year at about a seventh (14 percent) of those three years ago.

Endemic extortion endures. But most other violent crimes, including kidnappings, stand at a fraction of what they were.

Riveras del Bravo and Juarez’s other former cauldrons of carnage may now prove vanguards of Mexico’s long-promised peace. They’re providing a road map for a nationwide pacification campaign in gangster-spawning communities being rolled out by President Enrique Peña Nieto.


So the murder rate is only 1/7th of what it used to be. Looks like the approach of Mexico's new president seems to be working for Juarez, where as Calderon's approach was a complete disaster that probably caused more bloodshed. Cartels are now negotiating routes with each other as well. What does the Coli think? Will this decline in violence last?
 

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So the murder rate is only 1/7th of what it used to be. Looks like the approach of Mexico's new president seems to be working for Juarez, where as Calderon's approach was a complete disaster that probably caused more bloodshed. Cartels are now negotiating routes with each other as well. What does the Coli think? Will this decline in violence last?
There hasn't been a change in approach. The only major difference is that the new president has censored the media. For example, the recent leaders of the Zetas (Z-40) and Gulf cartel (X-20) were captured in July and August. They were not presented to the media and were not interrogated on tape. There is no transparency in drug arrests under the new administration. Statistics regarding apprehensions, releases, seizures, assets, etc are being kept from the media. The strategy is the same. The Mexican army and marines are still fighting these cats, and their presence has increased in certain hot zones like Michoacan state.

Juarez is an interesting case. The Sinaloa cartel decimated the Juarez cartel. Julian Leyzaola was brought in to clean the police department up which was dominated by the Juarez cartel. El Chapo gained access to the bridges that connect with El Paso. The murder rate plummeted.

So will this decline last? Maybe. Leyzaola was relieved of duty last week by the new mayor of Juarez, Enrique Serrano. The Sinaloa cartel has lost a lot of lieutenants due to arrests and infighting. The New Juarez cartel's leader was arrested a couple months ago but there hasn't been any sign of infighting for control of the group. If the new Chief of police is ineffective in weeding out corrupt cops, then we would very well see the murder rate jump back to 2010 year levels.
 

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just because they cant find the bodies doesn't mean the murder rate there is any less... a lot of desert and acid vats churning 24/7.

Just make Guzman the Presidente for life and call it a day

That wouldn't explain such a huge drop of around 80% though. The main thing I'm noticing, is that there used to be constant stories of hitmen spraying up entire nightclubs, restaurants, etc. and killing dozens of innocents in the pursuit of one target, that doesn't seem to be happening now from the articles I've read.
 

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That wouldn't explain such a huge drop of around 80% though. The main thing I'm noticing, is that there used to be constant stories of hitmen spraying up entire nightclubs, restaurants, etc. and killing dozens of innocents in the pursuit of one target, that doesn't seem to be happening now from the articles I've read.
We dont hear a lot of local media from Mexico.
The countries south of Mexico in the pipeline are violent as ever as well.
the cartels turf has been stabilizing as well this year.
 
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