Labor Department may delay jobs report until after the election

Jello Biafra

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Labor Department Says No Decision Yet on Whether to Delay Jobs Report
The Labor Department said Monday that it has yet to make a decision on whether to delay Friday’s closely-watched October employment report due to the effects from Hurricane Sandy.

Bloomberg News
Federal government offices in Washington are closed Monday and may be shut again Tuesday due to the storm. It isn’t clear if the closure would cause a delay in processing the data.

“We will assess the situation when the weather emergency is over and notify the press and public of any changes at that time,” said Gary Steinberg, spokesman for the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the data arm of the department.

The Labor Department is also scheduled to release its third quarter employment cost index Wednesday, and the third quarter productivity and weekly jobless claims reports Thursday.

The most closely watched is Friday’s jobs report, which will give the final measure the unemployment ahead of next week’s presidential election.

In September, the rate fell to 7.8%, the lowest level since President Barack Obama took office in January 2009. Meanwhile, the economy added 114,000 that month.

The surveys for the October employment report were conducted earlier this month. The unemployment rate comes from a survey of 60,000 households and the jobs figures comes from the establishment survey of 141,000 business and agencies.

However, it isn’t clear that government statisticians and others will be able complete the preparation of the jobs report before scheduled release time due to the weather and associated power outages and transportation disruptions.

A Census official said that agency too has made “no decision” on delaying economic data reports due out later this week. The Census, part of the Department of Commerce, is scheduled to release the construction spending report Thursday and the factory order data Friday.
 

Skooby

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Private sector adds most jobs in 8 months in Oct - Yahoo! Finance


Private sector adds most jobs in 8 months in Oct

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Companies added 158,000 jobs in October in the biggest gain in eight months, data from a payrolls processor showed on Thursday in a revamped report on the private sector labor market.

The historical data for the ADP National Employment Report was revised as part of the new methodology, which was used for the first time in the October report. September's increase has halved to 88,200 new jobs from an initially reported 162,000.

October's increase was the biggest jump since February and topped economists' forecasts for a gain of 135,000 jobs.

Economists often refer to the ADP report to fine-tune their expectations for the nonfarm payrolls report due on Friday, though it is not always accurate in predicting the outcome. The overhaul is meant to bring ADP's numbers more in line with the government's final revised jobs figures.

"I think markets have already begun to be quite wary of ADP's lack of predictability. I think that's exactly what's driving some of these revisions," said Bricklin Dwyer, economist at BNP Paribas.

"We've been surprised by some of the magnitudes of the increases or decreases in ADP before and they have not suggested such significant changes in nonfarm payrolls."

The closely watched nonfarm payrolls report is expected to show employment picked up in October, but not enough to prevent the unemployment rate from rising off a near four-year low.

U.S. stock index futures saw little impact from the data with Wall Street looking at a flat open in the aftermath of the massive storm that hit the U.S. northeast. The dollar rose to a session high against the yen.
 

DSGB

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I'm predicting a higher jobs number and lower unemployment. I think we are on the cusp of coming out this thing.

All these CEO/companies holding jobs back will see the light next Tuesday. We will add 400k to 500k jobs the first few months of 2013. They can't artificially hold jobs forever.
 

Good Guy Guevara

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The jobs report data really hasn't had a profound effort on the election. The numbers will be good but I expect unemployment to be back over 8% because of Cali.
 

Tony D'Amato

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Unemployment definitely gonna be up. They should keep those numbers quiet till Wednesday. Then it wont matter
 
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