What's the feeling brehs?
@Heimdall
The polls are looking good, very good... for Labour:
General election 2024 poll tracker: How do the parties compare?
Last night I heard about another
sort of poll which suggests a 256-seat majority for them, which is just crazy.
That said, the Tories won a large majority in the last election but seem to have largely squandered the opportunity...
Labour could win a 256-seat majority at the election, according to a new mega-poll, with the party projected to win 453 seats ahead of the Conservatives on 115.
The
MRP analysis from Ipsos – its first of the 2024 election campaign – also projected that Labour would win Islington North ahead of former party leader and independent candidate Jeremy Corbyn and that Reform UK leader Nigel Farage would emerge victorious in Clacton.
When the election was announced, I thought perhaps the timing might have been some cynical move to hold it while younger potential voters may be distracted, but it seems the timing will
work against them. They just can't catch a break
More than 30 Conservative seats are at risk of changing hands because of students returning home for the summer holidays, according to analysis of how student voters could influence the outcome of the UK’s general election.
The cabinet minister Esther McVey’s Tatton constituency is one of the 35 suburban or rural seats where Tory hopes could be dashed by students registered to vote at their family home, rather than their university term-time address.
David Cameron couldn't keep Nigel's name out of his mouth, which has probably only made him more popular. He is standing for a seat in Clacton, after apparently saying he wasn't going to (this was a surprise to me), and he
will probably win this time! There's also a
young breh standing for Labour: I was briefly optimistic for him.
The projections show Mr Farage at 52 per cent, far ahead of the next candidate, Labour’s Jovan Owusu-Nepaul at 24 per cent.
Actually I think the most surprising thing is that he can still garner so much support. IIRC as a member of the European Parliament he had one of the worst attendances, while apparently only being there to complain... and get paid.
I am getting the impression that there is now a media consensus that the Tories have to go
this time, maybe because of the polling, idk. There also isn't the same sort of vehement response to Starmer as there was to Corbyn: it's almost like
they've been trying to paint Keir as a safe pair of hands. They kept saying JC was unelectable, and honestly I didn't see what the problem was, apart from them saying he was unelectable. But there hasn't been any of that this time.
@mbewane @Liu Kang
very interesting
