ZoeGod
I’m from Brooklyn a place where stars are born.
Ok let me start to explain the rationale of my position:Great me too.
WRONG
This notion where you just remove bases is fukking stupid. Especially when we get favorable conditions in places like UAE.
And the bases cut down on reaction time.
an obvious statement devoid of any value.
I guess you have no problem with Russia doing it.
I don't think many of you realize that Russia controlled the Mid East in the 60s and 70s.
...and let Russia dictate the terms?
And give Iran another base to fund terror groups?
Did you know that TODAY Morocco kicked Iran's diplomats out for doing this very thing?
Morocco cuts diplomatic ties with Iran over Western Sahara feud
You are NAIVE.
Absolutely.
Which wars are we in besides Afghanistan?
What you're even advocating for is what we have. The Joe Biden model.
The Forerunner of Trump’s Plan for Afghanistan: Joe Biden’s
Joe Biden Didn't Lose Iraq
History didn't start yesterday.
We just gained some semblance of energy independence and its long term potential isn't known. Thus, this is our fortune for now:
Why close US bases in the Mideast? They are extremely vulnerable to Iran's asymmetrical capabilities. And since Saudi Arabia is our vassal state they will simply try the push the proxy war with Iran as far as possible and know we will have their back in the event of war. They will drag us to war. So they could do something stupid especially with Prince Bin Salman on the cusp of being King. He wants to defeat Iran and the US is dragged into another Mideast misadventure. We have seen the pitiful capabilities of the Patriot missile system in Yemen. The Houthis are firing Scud missiles that the Patriot missiles struggle to shoot down. Iran has a vast ballistic missile arsenal which is spread out across the country and is in deep underground bases. American military bases in the Gulf are not in good position especially in the event of war with Iran. Iran's follows the A2/AD military doctrine. Which is anti-access and anti-denial. Iran would launch a massive combined arms attack. Here is what it would look like:
Iran will likely exploit the element of surprise to subject U.S. forces in the Gulf to a concentrated, combined-arms attack. Using coastal radars, UAVs, and civilian vessels for initial targeting information, Iranian surface vessels could swarm U.S. surface combatants in narrow waters, firing a huge volume of rockets and missiles in an attempt to overwhelm the Navy’s AEGIS combat system and kinetic defenses like the Close-In Weapons System and Rolling Airframe Missile, and possibly drive U.S. vessels toward prelaid minefields. Shore-based ASCMs and Klub-K missiles launched from “civilian” vessels may augment these strikes. Iran’s offensive maritime exclusion platforms could exploit commercial maritime traffic and shore clutter to mask their movement and impede U.S. counter-targeting. While these attacks are underway, Iran could use its SRBMs and proxy forces to strike U.S. airfields, bases, and ports. Iran will likely seek to overwhelm U.S. and partner missile defenses with salvos of less accurate missiles before using more accurate SRBMs armed with submunitions to destroy unsheltered aircraft and other military systems. Proxy groups could attack forward bases using presighted guided mortars and rockets, and radiation-seeking munitions to destroy radars and C4 nodes.
After initial attacks to attrite U.S. forces in the Persian Gulf, Iran will likely use its maritime exclusion systems to control passage through the Strait of Hormuz. Mine warfare should feature prominently in Iranian attempts to close the Strait. As with many of its A2/AD systems, Iran could employ a combination of “smart” influence mines along with large quantities of less capable weapons such as surface contact mines. Iran may deploy many of its less sophisticated mines from a variety of surface vessels, while it reserves its submarine force to lay influence mines covertly. Though Iran may wish to sink or incapacitate a U.S. warship with a mine, its primary goal is probably to deny passage and force the U.S. Navy to engage in prolonged mine countermeasure (MCM) operations while under threat from Iranian shore-based attacks. U.S. MCM ships, which typically lack the armor and self-defenses of larger warships, would be unlikely to survive in the Strait until these threats are suppressed.
Iran could deploy its land-based ASCMs from camouflaged and hardened sites to firing positions along its coastline and on Iranian-occupied islands in the Strait of Hormuz while placing decoys at false firing positions to complicate U.S. counterstrikes. Hundreds of ASCMs may cover the Strait, awaiting target cueing data from coastal radars, UAVs, surface vessels, and submarines. Salvo and multiple axis attacks could enable these ASCMs to saturate U.S. defenses. Similar to the way in which Iran structured its ballistic missile attacks, salvos of less capable ASCMs might be used to exhaust U.S. defenses, paving the way for attacks by more advanced missiles.
Undoubtedly aware that the United States’ ability to bring military power to bear is influenced by the demand for forces in other regions, Iran may seek to expand the geographical scope of a conflict in order to divert U.S. attention and resources elsewhere. Iran’s terrorist proxies, perhaps aided by Quds Force operatives, could be employed to threaten U.S. interests in other theaters. Iran could conceivably leverage its relationship with Hezbollah to attempt to draw Israel into the conflict or tap Hezbollah’s clandestine networks to carry out attacks in other regions.
This does not take into account the S-300 which Iran has.
The US can defeat the S-300 system only if they bring more aircraft carriers and have time to plan and build up their forces.I highly doubt Iran will sit quietly like Saddam did and let US forces build up prepping for military operations against Iran. Now the biggest issue is they would not be able to get close to the Gulf since it has pre-laid minefield set, Iran's vast anti-ship missiles clogging pathways and also ballistic missiles. So fighter jets will have to travel at a great distance from the Indian ocean. This is a problem because it wastes time and fuel. Another thing too is that these jets cannot carry heavy bunker buster bombs which would slow them down and have them exposed to Iran redundant and deadly air defense system. Iran's use of S-300 isn't to defeat the US air force. The US will simply use cruise missiles and stealth bombers to take them out. However, the fact that the US will have to destroy the S-300's before sending in conventional air force means that Iran buys time to use its military to retaliate against US interests. Without S-300 much of Iran's offensive abilities wouldn't last past the second or third wave. With the S-300 the first and second wave attacks will be against the air defense and not the offensive abilities. That is to say, it will protect Iran's deterrence ability and increase the cost of a war At serious price.
This is my reason why we should be neutral so we do not get dragged into war. I guarantee you if we let the Saudis and Iran to their own devices they will not go to war. Simply because they want the oil to pass through. They do not want to fukk up their money. However, us backing the Saudis gives them the confidence to keep poking at Iran as far as they can and run to Uncle Sam to save the day if Iran ever lashes out. In regards to Syria. Russia and Turkey are running the show. We have no influence or leverage. Iran already has their land bridge so the US failed to stop that. The Syrian Kurds are more interested in having their own semi-autonomous state than fighting Assad. Us backing the Kurds is making Russia and Turkey closer which is a disaster. The rebels are defeated and lost the war. So even then we have no clue why we are in Syria. Assad,Russia and Iran won. Meanwhile, we are antagonizing a major NATO ally. Seems like another US mid-east failure.
And the US is involved with plenty conflicts in the Mideast. Yemen, Syria,Iraq, Libya etc. US spec ops are stretched over thin in Africa and the Mideast. All of this benefits China. Obama was smart to pivot to Asia because the Mideast is a lost cause. However, we are still entangled in "colonial" wars in the Mideast and North Africa with no end in sight. The constant warfare in the Mideast is draining American resources and manpower while China is slowly building its power in Asia.
In all by backing the Saudis and Israel we are heading towards a confrontation with Iran. Either these two nations will drag us in a bloody war with Iran which will have no benefit on us whatsoever.
dude is making five posts in a row like an unhinged lunatic
it's so bizarre that he's a super nationalist stan for the state when he was a major conspiracy guy on reddit before
How you pro black but support American imperialistic foreign policy that has not benefited black people in America?
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