High-Paid, Well-Educated White Collar Workers Will Be Heavily Affected By AI, Says New Report

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High-Paid, Well-Educated White Collar Workers Will Be Heavily Affected By AI, Says New Report

A new study published by the Brookings Institution takes a closer look at jobs that are the most exposed to artificial intelligence (AI), a subset of automation where machines learn to use judgment and logic to complete tasks -- and to what degree. For the study, Stanford University doctoral candidate Michael Webb analyzed the overlap between more than 16,000 AI-related patents and more than 800 job descriptions and found that highly-educated, well-paid workers may be heavily affected by the spread of AI.

Workers who hold a bachelor's degree, for example, would be exposed to AI over five times more than those with only a high school degree. That's because AI is especially good at completing tasks that require planning, learning, reasoning, problem-solving and predicting -- most of which are skills required for white collar jobs. Other forms of automation, namely in robotics and software, are likely to impact the physical and routine work of traditionally blue-collar jobs. [...] Well-paid managers, supervisors and analysts may also be heavily impacted by AI.
 

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Workers who hold a bachelor's degree, for example, would be exposed to AI over five times more than those with only a high school degree. That's because AI is especially good at completing tasks that require planning, learning, reasoning, problem-solving and predicting -- most of which are skills required for white collar jobs. Other forms of automation, namely in robotics and software, are likely to impact the physical and routine work of traditionally blue-collar jobs. [...] Well-paid managers, supervisors and analysts may also be heavily impacted by AI.

So pretty much anything that pays above minimum wage :beli:
 

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AI took their jobs. Now they get paid to make it sound human​

2 days ago

By Thomas Germain,

Serenity Strull/BBC/Getty Images Hands typing on a typewriter (Credit: Serenity Strull/BBC/Getty Images)
Serenity Strull/BBC/Getty Images

(Credit: Serenity Strull/BBC/Getty Images)

If you're worried about how AI will affect your job, the world of copywriters may offer a glimpse of the future.

Writer Benjamin Miller – not his real name – was thriving in early 2023. He led a team of more than 60 writers and editors, publishing blog posts and articles to promote a tech company that packages and resells data on everything from real estate to used cars. "It was really engaging work," Miller says, a chance to flex his creativity and collaborate with experts on a variety of subjects. But one day, Miller's manager told him about a new project. "They wanted to use AI to cut down on costs," he says. (Miller signed a non-disclosure agreement, and asked the BBC to withhold his and the company's name.)

A month later, the business introduced an automated system. Miller's manager would plug a headline for an article into an online form, an AI model would generate an outline based on that title, and Miller would get an alert on his computer. Instead of coming up with their own ideas, his writers would create articles around those outlines, and Miller would do a final edit before the stories were published. Miller only had a few months to adapt before he got news of a second layer of automation. Going forward, ChatGPT would write the articles in their entirety, and most of his team was fired. The few people remaining were left with an even less creative task: editing ChatGPT's subpar text to make it sound more human.

By 2024, the company laid off the rest of Miller's team, and he was alone. "All of a sudden I was just doing everyone's job," Miller says. Every day, he'd open the AI-written documents to fix the robot's formulaic mistakes, churning out the work that used to employ dozens of people.

In numerous industries, AI is being used to produce work that was once the exclusive domain of the human mind

"Mostly, it was just about cleaning things up and making the writing sound less awkward, cutting out weirdly formal or over-enthusiastic language," Miller says. "It was more editing than I had to do with human writers, but it was always the exact same kinds of edits. The real problem was it was just so repetitive and boring. It started to feel like I was the robot."

Miller's experience reflects a broader shift. In numerous industries, AI is being used to produce work that was once the exclusive domain of the human mind. AI is often less expensive than a person, but early adopters are quick to learn it can't always perform on the same level. Now, people like Miller are finding themselves being asked to team up with the same robots that are stealing their jobs to give the algorithms a bit of humanity – a hidden army making AI seem better than it really is.

If AI gets dramatically more effective, this will be a temporary solution. If it doesn't, Miller's story could be a preview of what's coming to other professions.

Serenity Strull/BBC/Getty Images Copywriters are at the forefront of a new line of work: human-AI collaboration (Credit: Serenity Strull/BBC/Getty Images)
Serenity Strull/BBC/Getty Images

Copywriters are at the forefront of a new line of work: human-AI collaboration (Credit: Serenity Strull/BBC/Getty Images)

Will AI steal your job? It's hard to say. We're at an unsettling crossroads, where some experts warn that super intelligent robots will soon replace most human work, while others believe the technology may never even approach that point. There are also some who argue we are heading towards a future of AI and human collaboration rather than competition.

But on a much smaller scale, some workers already face distressing consequences. If there's one thing the large language models powered by generative AI can do, it's string together words and paragraphs, putting some writers on the frontline.

The fear of losing work to AI-powered writing tools was one of the main issues that led to the screen writers strike in the US last year. And other creative industries face similar concerns about their future with the arrival of AI tools capable of generating images, audio and video from scratch.

We're adding the 'human touch', but that often requires a deep, developmental edit on a piece of writing – Catrina Cowart

The impact is already being felt among copywriters – the people who write marketing material and other content for businesses. In some corners of the copywriting business, AI is a blessing. It can be a useful tool that speeds up work and enhances creativity. But other copywriters, especially those early in their careers, say AI is making it harder to find jobs.

But some have also noticed a new type of gig is emerging, one that pays a lot less: fixing the robots' shoddy writing.

"We're adding the human touch, but that often requires a deep, developmental edit on a piece of writing," says Catrina Cowart, a copywriter based in Lexington, Kentucky, US, who's done work editing AI text."The grammar and word choice just sound weird. You're always cutting out flowery words like 'therefore' and 'nevertheless' that don't fit in casual writing. Plus, you have to fact-check the whole thing because AI just makes things up, which takes forever because it's not just big ideas. AI hallucinates these flippant little things in throwaway lines that you'd never notice."

Cowart says the AI-humanising often takes longer than writing a piece from scratch, but the pay is worse. "On the job platforms where you find this work, it usually maxes out around 10 cents (£0.08) a word. But that's when you're writing, This is considered an editing job, so typically you're only getting one to five cents (£0.008-£0.04) a word," she says.

"It's tedious, horrible work, and they pay you next to nothing for it," Cowart says.

Other industries have seen similar examples of lower-paid human beings quietly powering the machines, from stepping in to help with automated ordering systems to labelling the images used to train AI vision systems in the first place.

It's been an incredible co-creative partner – Rebecca Dugas

But for some in the copywriting world, whether the arrival of AI is a good or bad thing depends on how people approach it, and how far along people are in their careers. Some writers say working the tools into their creative process can even improve their work.

The American Writers and Artists Institute (AWAI), an organisation that offers training and resources for freelance writers, hosts a variety of courses on artificial intelligence for its members. AWAI president Rebecca Matter says AI classes are now the institute's most popular offering by far. "It's an incredible tool," Matter says. "For people who make copywriting a career, the risk isn't AI taking their jobs, it's that they have to adapt. That can be uncomfortable, but I think it's a huge opportunity."

Matter says the transition to the AI world has been smooth for most of the writers she knows. In fact, it's become such an inherent part of the copywriting process that many writers now add personal "AI policies" to their professional websites to explain how they use the technology.

Rebecca Dugas, a copywriter with nine years of experience, says AI has been a "godsend" that lets her turn out the same high-quality work in a fraction of the time.

"I use AI whenever my clients are comfortable with it," she says. "Whether it's brainstorming, market research, reworking paragraphs when I'm banging my head against the wall, it's been an incredible co-creative partner."

AI makes life easier for some writers, but for others, it adds insult to injury (Serenity Strull/BBC/Getty Images)

AI makes life easier for some writers, but for others, it adds insult to injury (Serenity Strull/BBC/Getty Images)

But Dugas understands that clients may have reservations about the technology. Her own AI policy explains that Dugas is happy to forgo AI for those who prefer it – but you can expect to pay more. The extra time and mental energy required means her AI-free projects come with a higher price tag.

As AI gets better, Dugas expects that some businesses will turn to ChatGPT and other tools for their writing needs instead of hiring human beings. "But I think even now we're getting to the point where companies are realising that if you don't understand copywriting, you can't judge the effectiveness of what the AI produces," she says. According to Dugas, that means there will always be well-paying work for talented, established writers.

Miller's time humanising AI ended abruptly

But copywriters on the lower end of the career spectrum may not be so lucky. Today, many in that position find themselves in the middle of a distinctly modern set of contradictions.

A great deal of copywriting work comes from website owners who want articles that will generate more traffic from Google. However, Google made a number of dramatic announcements in the last year about its effort to remove "unhelpful" content from search results. That sparked fears that the tech giant may penalise websites that host AI-generated content. Google maintains that AI-writing is fine if the content is high quality, but these reassurances haven't dissuaded concerns.

As a result, it's become a common practice in some parts of the copywriting world to run text through AI detection software. Over the last year, a wave of writers even say they've lost jobs over false accusations from AI detectors.

According to Cowart, many of the same freelance writing platforms that have AI detection software in place are simultaneously hiring people to edit content produced by chatbots. That means in some corners of the copywriting ecosystem, almost everything revolves around efforts to avoid the appearance of artificial intelligence.

"They're selling AI content and paying you to fix it, and at the same time they're sending you emails about how to write like a human so you don't trigger their AI detector," Cowart says. "It's so insulting." Worse, the detectors are regularly updated to keep up with ongoing changes from the companies who make AI chatbots, which means the rules about what might get your writing flagged as AI constantly shift. "It's frustrating, because there are a million ways to say the same thing in English, but which one is more human? I don't like the guessing," she says.

Miller's time humanising AI ended abruptly. After months of repetitive editing work, He got called in to an unexpected meeting. On 5 April 2024, the same day a historic earthquake shook his hometown of New York, he was laid off. The company decided that Miller was just another unnecessary layer of human intervention.

"I more or less got automated out of a job," Miller says.

Fortunately, it wasn't long before Miller found a new, if rather ironic, opportunity. He got a job at Undetectable AI, a technology company that builds software to make AI writing harder to identify. In other words, Miller is helping a company that's using AI to do the work he was forced into after AI took his job in the first place.

Bars Juhasz, chief executive of Undetectable AI, says tools like the ones his company produces are certain to have some negative effects on the labour market, but he's optimistic about the future of work. "When the automobile was first introduced in an era of horses and carts, people reacted like this was the end of days. But society always adapts," Juhasz says. "I think we're going to see a lot of jobs being replaced, and freelancers will be the hardest hit. I do feel for them. But these people who are getting paid to humanise AI are fantastic opportunists. Sure, it's not a great job, but they have effectively recognised a new seat at a moment when we're redefining the idea of productivity. People who can learn to work with the technology are going to be OK."

Miller doesn't look back fondly on his time in the AI-humanisation mines. "I contributed to a lot of the garbage that's filling the internet and destroying it," he says. "Nobody was even reading this stuff by the time I left because it's just trash." Ultimately, Miller assumes the company will just take down the AI articles he worked on. "It'll be like it never even happened."
 

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AI Doesn’t Kill Jobs? Tell That to Freelancers​


There’s now data to back up what freelancers have been saying for months​

66ac66ab488cae57e7c6528a849ef98026d4dafc.jpg

Reid Southen, a freelance concept artist for TV and movies, says his income fell sharply last year. Brittany Greeson for WSJ



Christopher Mims



By Christopher Mims

June 21, 2024 9:00 pm ET

Jennifer Kelly, a freelance copywriter in the picturesque New England town of Walpole, N.H., feels bad for any young people who might try to follow in her footsteps.

Not long after OpenAI’s ChatGPT made its debut, financial advisers who had depended on her 30 years of experience writing about wealth management stopped calling. New clients failed to replace them. Her income dried up almost completely.

When she asked, the clients she lost insisted they weren’t using artificial intelligence. But then, months later, some came back to her with an unusual request. The copy they’d been using AI to generate, they sheepishly admitted, wasn’t very good—and could she make it better?

“It’s not a fix,” she says of the empty-headed, generic pabulum that AI excels at writing. “You redo it.”

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Freelance copywriter Jennifer Kelly watched clients disappear after the debut of OpenAI’s ChatGPT. Photo: Jennifer Kelly

Kelly’s story is specific to her skills and circumstances, but it’s also an embodiment of what has happened to freelancers all over the U.S. and the world.

It is also, perhaps, an early sign of how Al could replace other types of workers. Most jobs are a collection of different tasks, so the ability of Al to complete those tasks is the ultimate measure of future job security — or lack thereof.

We can be reasonably certain her story is typical of the experience of tens of thousands, perhaps millions of people, because at least a half dozen studies using data from freelance job boards have been published in the past year, each one building on the previous. Nonpublic data from within at least one such service corroborates this work.

It’s a remarkably fast turnaround for such research, considering that ChatGPT is less than two years old. Wall Street Journal owner News Corp has a content-licensing partnership with OpenAI.

Freelance jobs that require basic writing, coding or translation are disappearing across postings on job board Upwork, said Kelly Monahan, managing director of the company’s Research Institute.

Her findings echo those of more than a dozen other researchers at institutions including Harvard Business School, Washington University in St. Louis and the University of Hong Kong. They have found that since the debut of ChatGPT and other generative AI models, the number of freelance jobs posted on Upwork, Fiverr and related platforms, in the areas in which generative AI excels, have dropped by as much as 21%.

Impact of Generative AI by task typePercentage change in pay since ChatGPT rolled out in November 2022Source: UpworkNote: High value tasks are defined as complex and requiring skill, while low value ones are repetitive,routine and can often be automated.

High valueLow value

Economists are fond of saying that AI will automate away some tasks, but is unlikely to eliminate many jobs, since most jobs are much broader and more demanding than the parts that can be handed to AI.

But freelancers represent an increasing proportion of the workforce: One study by Upwork found 38% of Americans did some kind of freelance work in 2022. For this type of work, it’s sometimes the case that the bulk of a person’s job is doing precisely the tasks that can be automated—and that can put their entire livelihood at risk.

Reid Southen is a concept artist for TV and movies, including ones you’ve probably heard of, including Blue Beetle and the Matrix Resurrections. His income in 2023 was less than half of what he would make in a typical year, he says. That’s even worse than 2020, when the entire film and TV industry effectively shut down.

Southen’s work typically happens in the early stages of a project, when producers need detailed sketches to help them establish the look of a film or show. This kind of behind-the-scenes work is being handed to AI faster than any other part of the film and TV business, as producers seek to cut costs in the face of a broader slowdown in their industry. Much of it is being handled by Midjourney, the image generation AI which by late 2022 was capable of producing photorealistic images from nothing but a short text prompt. If concept artists are brought in at all, it’s to tweak the images already generated by AI, says Southen.

Southen’s experience has been echoed by others in his field, across social media and in the whisper networks that artists like him rely on.

1162706befbd3afcaabf097b5e028559b738b62f.jpg
Reid Southen’s concept-designer job has been one of the first to be replaced by AI, with generative AI programs like Midjourney being used by film and TV producers. Photo: Brittany Greeson for WSJ

“You can talk to any artist at this point, and they have a story about how they were given AI reference material to work from, or lost a job,” says Southen.

In addition to fewer projects, studios and production companies are cutting the amount of time for which they typically hire artists. What was once a three-to-six-month project is now perhaps a few weeks, and often pays rates far below what is typical, says Southen. He was recently offered a job that included a lot of Al-generated art in its pitch deck already, and the producers offered him half his usual rate to create more.

As in other periods of rapid adoption of automation, there are those who benefit from the shift. Freelancers who become more productive when using AI, but can’t yet be replaced by it, such as data science and IT, earn on average 40% more, says a spokeswoman for Upwork.

And then there are the freelancers who report that demand for their work is up because, at least in their more demanding and specialized roles, AI isn’t living up to the hype.

4026fb4304d1c5c9f5e3a0cec516b4162f545468.jpg
David Erik Nelson, a freelance sales and marketing copywriter, is being asked to rewrite prose produced by AI. Photo: Justin Lundquist

Not long after ChatGPT debuted in November 2022, David Erik Nelson, a freelance sales and marketing copywriter in Ann Arbor, Mich., saw a jump in inquiries.

“I was picking up new clients whose specific complaint was that their previous vendor had been giving them AI-generated content, and hadn’t been straightforward about it,” says Nelson. The AI had produced smooth prose intended for sales materials, but it was so generic, and often wrong, that it wasn’t about to convince people making six- and seven-figure purchasing decisions.

“The marketing people think it looks fine,” says Nelson, “but then you hand it to someone who actually knows something about industrial fluid purification, and they’re like, ‘This is word salad.’”

In some ways, what AI is doing to freelancers is a tale as old as technology, says Monahan, the researcher at Upwork. Routine, low-skilled tasks that can be fully automated will mean lower wages for freelancers who once did those tasks, she adds.

Kelly, the copywriter in New Hampshire, is glad that at 62, she won’t have to endure many more years of being asked why she doesn’t use AI to speed up her work, or to clean up the dreck it generates. “We’ll be OK—our house is paid for, and I can get social security,” she says.

But the way that writing by humans is being replaced by what she sees as inferior material generated by AI still irks her. AI-generated content might still rank in Google search, but having seen so much of it, she can now spot it easily.

“When I see something that looks like it was written by AI, I just switch off,” she adds. “The internet has just gotten so much duller.”
 

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1/11
3.1 8b is under-discussed imo
>crazy benchmarks
>crushing gemma 2 (already great model)
>on groq my response was instant lol
>no streaming
>the response just appeared
>we have instant brains now?

2/11
We finally have SOTA at home 🥲

3/11
for QA what we need is multi-stage responses where it generates a presentation then it presents it (optionally). So the presenter would walk you through the presentation, highlighting the points/images and discussing them. even without voice it could be as tap/hover

4/11
Yup, even if it's not THE BEST, we have gpt3.5~ at home

5/11
How clean's the distillation? Does it have that overly-synthetic Phi3/4o/Sonnet3.5 feel?

6/11
Wait till you see what I can do with this model at home. LOL.

7/11
It's insane

You really have to use it live to "feel" the insane speed

8/11
Definitely, model is insane in its category

9/11
i think meta should be putting gpt-4o-mini on the charts instead of 3.5

10/11
mini models are the future, we just need to learn how to go wide with them.

gotta do a bit of unhobbling to coordinate thousands/millions of instances together with the instant outputs.

11/11
And I can actually run it on my PC lmao


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1/11
What can you do with Llama quality and Groq speed? You can do Instant. That's what. Try Llama 3.1 8B for instant intelligence on Groq is Fast AI Inference.

2/11
This is so cool. Feeling the AGI - you just talk to your computer and it does stuff, instantly. Speed really makes AI so much more pleasing.

3/11
Well, I stand corrected. I thought it was going to take your team at least 24 hours to get this going, but I should’ve known better.

4/11
Holy crap this is fast AND smart

5/11
Speed like that is going to enable a new wave of innovative uses. 🔥

6/11
will u update the pricing for the new llama 3.1 models?

7/11
Very quick.
Very impressive.
Can’t wait to try 🙌🏿!

8/11
I do like me some 'Guu with Garlic' at 7 pm.

9/11
What's the best way to do custom models (not fine tuned) with Groq chips?

10/11
Extremely impressive!

11/11
ASI will happen soon. 👍


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