Yes, there are many projections, but scientists say they
all hinge on how people behave. That's why it's essential to social distance and do what you can to prevent spread.
A
conservative USA TODAY analysisbased on data from the American Hospital Association, U.S. Census, CDC and WHO estimates that 23.8 million Americans could contract COVID-19, leaving almost six seriously ill patients for every existing hospital bed.
Another analysis finds that America’s trajectory of community spread is trending toward toward Italy’s, where circumstances are dire.
One researcher at the Global Center for Health Security estimated last month that as many as 96 million Americans could be infected. The Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security estimated that 38 million Americans will need medical care for COVID-19. The CDC's
worst-case-scenariois that about 160 million to 210 million Americans will be infected by December. Under this forecast, 21 million people would need hospitalization and 200,000 to 1.7 million could die by the end of the year.
Outside the U.S., leaked British documents projected that a coronavirus outbreak could rage until spring 2021. German Chancellor Angela Merkel said
60% to 70% of her country's population could eventually become infected.