2024 U.S. Presidential Election Thread
- Thread starter FAH1223
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Good start.
People comparing this to 2016 just doesn't remember 2016. In 2016 most dems thought Hillary would win and didn't bother voting. It was hubris twisted with protest votes. Their was zero enthusiasm for Hillary, Kamala is doing great in pa with turnout so far
BK The Great
Veteran
Just Hit The Gym this Morning
Im coppin a Pizza after Work,Blaze some Indica and just listen to Wave Sounds in The Dark during Breaks of playing The Show
Im gonna stand on the fact that itll be called within two Days,I have the same kinda Vibes I had during The Gavin Newsom Recall where it was called in like 15 mins after Polls Closed,it was a sense of
but when the Larry Elder fukkery hit(think the MSG Incident in proximity)it was a Wrap
Wearing My STANCE Socks with The American Flag print on the Strength
Im coppin a Pizza after Work,Blaze some Indica and just listen to Wave Sounds in The Dark during Breaks of playing The Show
Im gonna stand on the fact that itll be called within two Days,I have the same kinda Vibes I had during The Gavin Newsom Recall where it was called in like 15 mins after Polls Closed,it was a sense of
but when the Larry Elder fukkery hit(think the MSG Incident in proximity)it was a WrapWearing My STANCE Socks with The American Flag print on the Strength
One of the things that I hate is kids who have been indoctrinated by their parents to like Trump.
It should be considered child abuse.
Wayne county Michigan I’ve done my duty
It will be an honor to call Kamala Devi Harris madam president
It will be an honor to call Kamala Devi Harris madam president
i worry about all kids growing up in this trump era. what kind of message does it send to them that someone so contemptible held the highest office and is in contention for it again.
I'm not getting much work done today, so I might as well give my thoughts... The thing I'm keeping my eye on is how quickly the NC Gov race is called for Josh Stein, and how far off the pace Harris is to him and the other Dems running statewide in the early vote. Any signal of an overperformance for Republicans in the governor race, and it's gonna be a rough night here and elsewhere. Key counties to watch:
Nash - Biden won it by .23 or 120 votes. It's the classic swing county in a swing state.
New Hanover - The demographic makeup and 50-48 winning margin here for Biden in 2020 mirrored statewide results in PA. A possible bell weather county
Granville & Franklin - 2 purplish counties near the VA border surrounded by bluer ones. They split for the Dem in the governor race in 2020, but Trump carried both against Biden. A Harris win statewide requires minimum losses here, or she'll have to run up a bigger margin in the surrounding blue
Cabarrus - The media is obsessed with Union county, southeast of Charlotte, but if any metro area county flips, it will be this one, northeast of it. Democrat Roy Cooper lost it by 4 points while winning reelection by 5 statewide in 2020. Trump carried it by 9. If Stein is truly ahead by 10+ points in the governor race, this should pop up and remain blue on his map, and have an uplifting effect on the rest of the ticket.
On the other hand, it also has the potential to deliver a warning sign for Harris. A Black woman running for a state supreme court seat, Cheri Beasley, lost this county by 10 points in 2020, while losing statewide by only 400 votes. Had she just matched Biden's number of -9, she would have made it across the finish line alongside Cooper and Stein. Instead she lost the state. In 2022 she lost the county by 13, and state by 5, in her Senate race.
I'm also on the lookout for a theory I have that those who went to college, but didn't attain a 4 year degree, are the hidden voters that pollsters haven't weighted correctly this cycle. In ABC last national poll which had Harris up 3 overall, Trump was ahead by 30 among those who didn't go to college. However his lead went down to 10 when they include those who went but didn't finish, in the non-college number. I think Harris more than likely has a big lead with women in this category. If she does, and they make up a larger share of the electorate than anticipated, it could show up in NC and a more comfortable VA margin, before it's seen in an Iowa or Wisconsin.
Either way, I'm of the belief that VA, NC, and GA will give us a pretty clear picture of where the race stands by the time we start getting the numbers from the blue wall and western states.
Nash - Biden won it by .23 or 120 votes. It's the classic swing county in a swing state.
New Hanover - The demographic makeup and 50-48 winning margin here for Biden in 2020 mirrored statewide results in PA. A possible bell weather county
Granville & Franklin - 2 purplish counties near the VA border surrounded by bluer ones. They split for the Dem in the governor race in 2020, but Trump carried both against Biden. A Harris win statewide requires minimum losses here, or she'll have to run up a bigger margin in the surrounding blue
Cabarrus - The media is obsessed with Union county, southeast of Charlotte, but if any metro area county flips, it will be this one, northeast of it. Democrat Roy Cooper lost it by 4 points while winning reelection by 5 statewide in 2020. Trump carried it by 9. If Stein is truly ahead by 10+ points in the governor race, this should pop up and remain blue on his map, and have an uplifting effect on the rest of the ticket.
On the other hand, it also has the potential to deliver a warning sign for Harris. A Black woman running for a state supreme court seat, Cheri Beasley, lost this county by 10 points in 2020, while losing statewide by only 400 votes. Had she just matched Biden's number of -9, she would have made it across the finish line alongside Cooper and Stein. Instead she lost the state. In 2022 she lost the county by 13, and state by 5, in her Senate race.
I'm also on the lookout for a theory I have that those who went to college, but didn't attain a 4 year degree, are the hidden voters that pollsters haven't weighted correctly this cycle. In ABC last national poll which had Harris up 3 overall, Trump was ahead by 30 among those who didn't go to college. However his lead went down to 10 when they include those who went but didn't finish, in the non-college number. I think Harris more than likely has a big lead with women in this category. If she does, and they make up a larger share of the electorate than anticipated, it could show up in NC and a more comfortable VA margin, before it's seen in an Iowa or Wisconsin.
Either way, I'm of the belief that VA, NC, and GA will give us a pretty clear picture of where the race stands by the time we start getting the numbers from the blue wall and western states.
I worry about all kids in this red pill era, I'm one of the people who think younger gen z will be redder than millenniums due to streamers and Andrew tates of the world
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