Looking over the
nominees...
I'd say Hunger Games takes it due to the MTV crowd.
At least it isn't Twilight (and I somewhat like Hunger Games).
MTV smartened up last year and didn't nominate it for anything and The Avengers took it all.
Props to them for getting Conan to host this year. Always felt his two years hosting the Emmys were memorable. I'm surprised they never got him to host the Oscars.